Fears of a return to credit card defaults sweep the UK.

July 28th, 2009 by tom | Filed under Central banks, Daily News, Exchage Rate, Global Credit Crisis, Money Management, Mortgages, Recession, Stocks and shares, The Markets, UK Banks, UK Credit cards, World Banks.

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Signs are beginning across the Atlantic that consumers are beginning resurrect the practice of borrowing their way out of trouble. A recent surge in consumer debt defaults in the US could well spread to the UK, according to a recent report issued by the International Monetary Fund (IMF).

The IMF have forecasted that of the almost £1.5 billion of credit card debt currently held in the UK, around seven percent of that, or around £100 million may need to be written off. Confirmation of the sad facts is expected to be released next week when UK banks begin reporting their first-half results. Some of them have already warned that a sharp increase in credit card debts will need to be taken into account.

House prices in the U.K. continue to solidify, expected to hold their value for a third consecutive month in July. While the credit squeeze and the recession continues to prevent the property market from improving the average cost of a home in England and Wales was stable at £155,600 pounds, which was still almost eight percent lower than in July 2008.

The National Express takeover saga continues. The company announced that they are liable reject the Cosmen family takeover bid, which only values the group at around £500 million.

It is expected when National Express present their interim results towards the end of the week, they will explain to their shareholders that their desire to remain independent, and become profitable through cutting costs and reducing their debt burdens. Steps that should make the company far more attractive for takeover in the future. ,

Two potential suitors for National Express have been turned away as they have offered around 325 pence per share, while National Express are looking for 400 pence, giving the company a value of around £620 million.

The Cosmen family are National Express’s largest single shareholder, with an 18.5 per cent holding, and Jorge Cosmen is its deputy chairman. Shares in the company have risen since Friday when the Cosmen family in partnership with CVC confirmed their interest.

It was carnival time on the FTSE as the market equaled its record of eleven consecutive positive session

Among the best performers was Lloyds Banking Group who added 6.9 per cent to close on 88.33 pence. Analysts expect shares in Lloyds to reach as high as 100 pence in anticipation of the bank’s half year results to be announced on Wednesday.

The FTSE 100 index closed up by only 9.52 points to 4586.13, taking e index’s gains over the past 11 sessions to 10.6 per cent which is a new record, beating the 7.1 per cent in 1997.

Meanwhile the FTSE 250 recorded its first reverse for a while down 61.58 points to 7,876.86

The pound gained a little ground on Monday against the leading currencies.

Pound/US dollar 1.6464

Pound/Euro 1.1573

Pound/Japanese Yen 156.5371

Pound/Swiss Franc 1.7634

Chairman of the US central bank Ben Bernanke rushed to defend the US bail-out plan of which he was among the principal architects. Bernanke admitted that his fears that the UK were heading into a second Great Depression had helped him to decide to back the stimulus plan which has so far cost the US taxpayer around $700 billion. Bernanke went on to point out that the bailout had widely benefitted the US economy and that no one should be surprised if further capital might be required to prop up the system.

Seemingly unfazed, the Dow Jones continued its steady rise, up by 15.27 points to 9108.51. The NASDAQ made a small gain, up a mere 1.93 points to close on 1967.89.

Recent reports have revealed that the annual rate of new home sales in the United States has risen by more than ten percent in June, further signs that the property sector is over the worst.

The US Department of Commerce announced that sales of new properties have hit a seasonally-adjusted annual rate of 384,000 in June, against 346,000 in May.

Whilst June’s figures were the strongest seen since November 2008, the average sale was down 5.8% from May and 12% lower than a year ago at $206,200 (£125,000),

On Monday Commodities made a strong start to trading, continuing last week’s gains. Prices of European crude rose beyond the $70-a-barrel mark while base metals staged a broad advance, led by copper that

jumped to its highest level in almost 10 months in the London, New York and Shanghai markets. The commodities are always an excellent barometer to gauge the extent of the global economic recovery.