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UK economy continues to recover

April 26th, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Daily News, Debt, Employment, Global Credit Crisis, Money Management, Mortgages, Recession, Retail, Stocks and shares, The Budget, UK Bank Accounts, UK Banks, UK employment, World Banks

financial news

The UK economy continues its recovery from recession, with the news that the UK gross domestic profit (GDP) rose by 0.2% in the first three months of 2010, according to information provided by the Office for National Statistics, The figure was lower than the 0.4% growth predicted by many economists, but like the last quarter of 2009 may still be revised. Initial figures for that period, when the UK moved out of recession were originally estimated at 0.1%, were later revised to 0.4%. The ONS estimated that bad weather at the beginning of the year may have had an impact on output, particularly in the retail and industrial sectors. Meanwhile it was reported that manufacturing output grew by 0.7% over the quarter, while the utilities sector output also rose by 2.5%.

It has been confirmed that UK Government borrowing hit a record high of £163.4 billion in 2009, whilst remaining lower than the £166.5 billion initially predicted by Chancellor Alistair Darling in his 2009 Budget.

Despite that fact the figure still makes for s the biggest annual borrowing figure for a UK Government in peacetime.

In March alone, the figures from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) showed total borrowing of £23.5 billion.

For the first time, bonus rates on save as you earn (SAYE) schemes are to be cut to zero percent next month. The news has fostered concerns that some employees could shun participation in SAYE plans because there will be less incentive to save.

A £1 billion profits boost looks to be on its way for the Lloyds Banking Group brought about a block in rises of the pensionable salary of its staff. This vital cost saving is expected to play a significant part in returning Lloyds to profit in 2010. The move will also increase the likelihood that the government will be in a position sell its 41 percent stake in the bank in the near future.

As part of their new chief executive Adam Crozier’s expansion plans, Broadcaster ITV is reported to be considering an acquisition of its rival Five Industry sources predict that Crozier will implement expansion plans as soon as possible, before the general consolidation in the sector. If the deal goes through it would give ITV a 53 percent share in the television advertising market.

Two of the UKs largest property investment trusts are to merge to create the sixth-biggest listed property company in the UK with a combined market capitalisation of more than £1.6 billion The F&C Commercial Property Trust (FCPT), are to be merged with the UK Commercial Property Trust (UKCPT) that is owned by the Phoenix Group.

The new company will have a market capitalisation of about £1.6 billion and a property portfolio with net assets of £1.5 billion.

British newspaper and stationery retailer WH Smith has announced a four percent drop in like-for-like sales for the six months to the end of February. WH have spent £35 million in the first half of the year repurchasing shares in a buy-back scheme that has seen their share price rise by ten percent and pre-tax profit rise two percent to £62 million A spokesperson for the group announced that they have decided against extending the buy-back programme, choosing instead to invest in acquisitions and to return cash to shareholders at the end of year. On the news shares in WH Smith closed down 9.5 pence at 505 pence.

Lord Kirkham, founder and chairman of furniture retailer DFS stands to make in excess of £300 million pounds from the sale of his company to private equity firm Advent International, who have purchased the company for £500 million Kirkham will, he will hold on to DFS Properties, which owns approximately one third of the group’s store estate.

Homebuilders were among the biggest gainers in London after the US Commerce Department reported that new home sales in the United States were up by 27 percent in March, the biggest monthly percentage gain in almost half a century. Taylor Wimpey who sells around a third of its properties in the US showed close to a 10% gain on the stock exchange, Barratt Developments was up 4.52 percent, Persimmon 3.81 percent and Bovis Homes 3.45 percent.

The travel and leisure sector also finished the session and the week on a high. Travel returning to normal after the recent closures of airports and airspace in Europe due to ash in the air from the volcanic eruption in Iceland having its effects.

Cruise ship operator Carnival led gains in the sector as it added 5.87 percent, while shares in hotels operator InterContinental Hotels Group rose up by 4.37 percent. British Airways gained 3.86 percent as fears of a protracted grounding were put to the side.

The pound closed against the dollar down .030 on 1.5358 while the Euro closed up to 1.1488

U.K. stocks advanced the most in three weeks before the weekend. Despite a smaller-than-forecast increase in British gross domestic product, prospects for global economic growth remained strong the benchmark FTSE 100 Index rose 58.32 to 5,723.65 on Friday the highest rise since April 1. The increase pared this week’s retreat to 0.4 percent.

Overall The FTSE 100 remains 5.7 percent higher for 2010.

In his weekly radio and Web address, President Barack Obama said on Saturday taxpayer-funded bailouts of the auto industry that he approved had paid off, in what amounted to a rejection of conservative arguments against such government help.

President Obama continues to apply pressure for an overhaul of U.S. financial regulations, saying the promising news from the auto industry had not reduced the need for Wall Street changes.

Government bailouts of Wall Street continue to come under heavy criticism from conservatives who feel the government is spending too much money and that big firms should be allowed to fail.

General Motors Co and Chrysler both reported progress this week in their government-financed turnarounds. However the Obama administration still forecasts some loss on the taxpayer bailout of both companies to help them recover from the economic slump and a steep drop in auto sales.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed for the weekend up 70 points to 11,204.29 while the NASDAQ Composite was up 21 points on 2,530.10

Reports are that Greece’s talks with the IMF on emergency loans to finance its debt are going well. The Greek finance minister George Papaconstantinou predicted that Greece would not face problems funding its debts. To tackle the crisis, which has undermined the Euro, Greece has called for emergency funding from the IMF as well as its Eurozone partners. The Eurozone nations are expected to provide emergency loans of up to €30 billion (£26 billion) in the first year, with a further €10 billion coming from the International Monetary Fund (IMF). Greece will need some of the money as soon as the 19th May, when it needs to make a debt payment of $11.3 billion.

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UK house prices rise in March

April 2nd, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Energy Prices, Global Credit Crisis, Loans, Money Management, Mortgages, Recession, Saving, Stocks and shares, The Budget, UK Bank Accounts, UK Banks, World Banks

financial news

A recent report has stated that UK House prices have raised by more than 0.7 % (£3,000), while updates forecasts show that annual property inflation is due to slow down from the current rate of 9%. The increase more or less cancels the 0.8% fall in February.

The average UK property is now valued at £164,519, £16,773 more than the in February 2009, which was the low point in the recent property value slump In from the worst recession since World War II.

In last week’s budget, Chancellor of the Exchequer Alistair Darling scrapped a tax on house purchases for first-time buyers spending £250,000 pounds or less. The tax previously started at 1 percent for properties costing more than £125,000 pounds. The policy will mean nine in 10 first-time buyers will avoid the levy, according to government forecasts. Signs of increased demand is recent mortgage approval figures s released that show that almost 60.000 new mortgages were approved in February, more than double those approved at the at the trough of the financial crisis in November 2008, and less than half the 120,000 reading at the peak of the boom.

The Bank of England said net mortgage lending for February 2010 rose by £1.6 billion pounds, the most since December 2008.

In addition, figures recently released show that UK households added to their unsecured debts in February, with net consumer credit rising by £528 million pounds, a significant increase on economist’s predictions of a £400 million-pound increase. Credit-card lending increased by £374 million, while personal loans and overdrafts increased by £154 million.

Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS) have been fined £28.6 million for breaking competition law in the first big case brought against a financial services company, potentially exposing the part-nationalised bank to lawsuits from clients. RBS admitted staff involved in making loans to big law and accounting firms had illegally given pricing data to counterparts at Barclays. Barclays reportedly escaped being penalised because it voluntarily disclosed its part in the affair to the Office of Fair Trading.

Desire Petroleum, the British company who are drilling for oil off the Falkland islands have seen their shares halve in value , after they revealed the existing supply may not be commercially viable.

In a statement on their Web site, Desire stated that "oil may be present in thin intervals, but the reservoir quality is poor."

Desire will release the final results of its 30-day test drilling operation in the South Atlantic archipelago on Wednesday. According to the company it may have to drill deeper to find greater quantities of oil and gas.

Desire estimated that the North Falkland Basin could contain 3.5 billion barrels of oil as well as having "significant gas potential."

Potential revenues from oil and gas reignited have already re-ignited a long-running dispute between London and Buenos Aires over ownership of the Falklands.

Leasing UK high street banking groups, Banco Santander SA and Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc are reported to be in advanced talks with the U.K. government over allowing their client’s access to their bank accounts through Britain’s 11,500 Post Offices. According to a recent statement, the negotiations are part of a package of measures intended to breathe life back into the Post Office network. Business Secretary Peter Mandelson is about to announce another series of measures, including allowing consumers to open a Post Office current account, issue mortgages for up to 90 percent of a property’s value. Another revolutionary proposal will be subsidised savings accounts for people on low incomes. If Mandelson’s proposal bears fruit, it means that the government will add 50 pence for every pound saved.

Mandelson was reported to have said that the Post Office is a well-loved community institution. "This move will bring more banking services back to the heart of those communities.” He concluded.

Nowadays, with pensions and benefits being paid directly into bank accounts, and services including car licensing have gone online. Falling revenue has seen the number of U.K. Post Office branches declined from 25,000 in their peak during the 1960s.

U.K. publisher Daily Mail & General Trust PLC have announced their predictions that first-half operating profit will be up sharply for the last six months trading figures. They state that the increase is due primarily to improvements within its consumer businesses, but it remains cautious about the second half of the year given the political uncertainty in the U.K. ahead of the imminent general election. The Daily Mail and the Sunday Mail newspapers reported an 8% rise in underlying advertising revenues at Associated Newspapers for the six months period.

The pound was little changed at $1.5079 while the Euro rose on increased optimism on the Greek situation to €1.1249.

The FTSE 100 index dropped again on trading, finishing down 31 points to 5,672.32

The Dow Jones industrial average ended at a fresh 18-month high and the rest of the market churned Tuesday as investors weighed a rise in consumer confidence, more weakness in the housing market and a stronger dollar.

The Dow Jones industrial average added 11 points, or 0.1%, closing at 10,907.42, the highest finish since 11,143.13 on Sept. 26, 2008. The NASDAQ composite also added 6 points to close on 2410.69.

The Irish government are expected to inject a further €8.3 billion Euros (£7.4 billion, $9.9 billion) into the nationalised Anglo Irish Bank.

A spokesperson for the Irish Finance Ministry revealed that pumping in more money was the" best of a series of bad options". Although both Allied Irish Banks and Bank of Ireland will attempt to raise funding from private investors, it appears more likely that Allied Irish Banks will also require taxpayer support,

This second bailout follows the nationalisation of Anglo Irish Bank last year.

The Irish government also owns 25% and 16% stakes in Allied Irish Banks and Bank of Ireland respectively

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UK economic recovery set to be slow and sluggish by the CBI

March 24th, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Employment, Energy Prices, Exchage Rate, Recession, Retail, Stocks and shares, The Budget, UK Bank Accounts, UK Banks, UK Small Business, UK employment, World Banks

financial news

It only stands to reason that the U.K.’s economic recovery will be slow in 2010. There is an election about to happen and the public have obviously chosen a path the correct path to save spend less and save more. According to the Confederation of British Industry (CBI) the economy will grow by 0.3 percent in the first quarter and move up to 0.4 percent in the second quarter, and will finally settle down to expanding 0.5 percent in the second half of the year. The CBI also predicted that gross domestic product (GDP) will increase by 1 percent in 2010 and 2.5 percent in 2011. Britain’s economy exited its deepest recession on record in the fourth quarter with growth of 0.3 percent.

Bank of England (BOE) officials were also expressing caution on the eve of what may well be the Labour Government’s last budget in well over a decade. The BOE have consistently issued warnings that financial recovery in the UK may prove uneven as credit strains persist.

Chancellor of the Exchequer Alistair Darling is due to deliver his budget today, with just a few weeks before the general election, the date of which is yet to be announced. A spokesman for the CBI stated that the government must avoid “damaging” tax rises and focus on spending cuts to narrow the record deficit,

As budget fever mounts, speculation is rife as to what Chancellor of the Exchequer Alistair Darling will reveal in his speech. Darling has repeatedly stated there will be no pre-election giveaways in the budget but he wants to encourage more investment in UK business after an 18-month recession.

It is expected that government departments which be called on to cut costs that will add some credibility to the U.K.’s deficit reduction plan and Yvette Cooper, the work and pensions secretary, has set the wheels in motion by announcing her department are plan to introduce savings of at least £500 million pounds by the 2012 / 2013 fiscal year.

What is for sure is that the Labour government will unveil their plans to establish a £2 billion "green" investment bank in the budget, designed to help Britain’s transformation to a low carbon economy. The green bank, designed to help finance projects such as railways, offshore wind power generation and eco-friendly waste management, will be partially funded by sales of government assets with the remaining money being drawn from the private sector.

Strike hit British Airways have come up with an estimate that the current three-day strike by the airline’s cabin crew will cost them around £7 million a day in lost earnings. However the airline hastened to point out that the industrial action was unlikely to have much impact on its earnings for the full-year. According to a company spokesman, around a third of flights to and from the UK’s main airports on Monday have so far been cancelled.

BA Heathrow suffered the biggest disruption on Monday, with 201 of the 443 flights on BA’s online schedule being cancelled.

Every cloud does have a silver lining and one of them appears to be that because of the recession, one in four children have reduced their spending. According to new research published this week t children’s attitudes to money have been strongly impacted by the recession with 80% of the children polled stated that they would prefer to save up to buy something rather than get into debt.

The latest financial results from fashion retailer Monsoon show an increase in profits for 2008/2009 eight times higher than the previous year. Over the year to August 29, 2009, the privately owned company showed a profit of taxes of £32.9 million, up from £3.9 million the previous year. Monsoon, who currently operate over 1,000 outlets, report strong sales at its overseas division. Over the next 12 months Monson plan to open another 140 stores.

Another fashion in the financial spotlight is New Look who has announced that they may resurrect their £1.7 billion flotation plans. The decision may come as soon as this week when the New Look board meets to consider whether market conditions have sufficiently improved. The fashion retailer shelved its planned IPO in February, blaming volatile markets. Meanwhile sales at the group are said to be ahead of expectations.

In a move which could raise as much as £400 million pounds Music recording giants EMI are reported to be considering plans to licence its music catalogue. Competitors in the industry would manage the music group’s catalogue, which includes music from The Beatles. If successful the licensing would enable EMI to meet their debt repayments and stave off an attempt by Citigroup, to take control of the company.

Sterling continues to fall ahead of this week’s budget and the fast-approaching general election due to be held in early May, and the prospects that it will be closely fought and may even result in a hung parliament.

The pound continues to be stuck around the $1.50 mark, closing at $1.5037 on Tuesday, while the Euro was on €1.1137.

As concern consists about debt levels whether the next government will be equipped to tackle challenges on public finances the pound looks likely to continue in the doldrums.

The FTSE 100 index closed on Tuesday up 23 points at 5,673.63.

On Wall Street, the Dow Jones was still on the rise, this time by 147 points to close on 10888.83 The NASDAQ also was on the rise up 42 points to 2415.24

According to Greece’s central bank the country’s economy is trapped in a "vicious circle" and is liable to contract more severely than government predictions. .

The Bank of Greece (BoG) said economic output in 2010 will fall by 2%, much higher than the Greek government’s prediction of between 1.2% and 1.7%.

BoG says the recession will be worse due to planned public spending cuts.

The report comes ahead of a European Union summit to discuss Greece’s economic crisis, as German resistance towards financial aid for Athens persists.

Athens has already come close to defaulting after misleading European partners about the scale of its financial problems, which last year saw its public sector deficit hit almost 13 per cent of gross domestic product

Meanwhile Germany’s coalition government is reportedly planning to establish a banking levy that will protect taxpayers from the costs of any future bank bail-outs. The German government was obliged to seriously deplete their treasury coffers to provide a €500 billion rescue package to shore up the banking system late in 2008.

On the other side of the World, in Dubai, bank officials await anticipation of the severely troubled Dubai World company presenting their long-waited proposals on how they intend to restructure $26 billion of toxic debt.

The Dubai stock market has surged 11% this month on speculation a proposal is imminent.

Crude oil prices managed to rebound from early weakness to settle at around $81.25 a barrel.

Analysts at the Centre for Global Energy Studies said that global oil demand was on the path to full recovery but upward pressure on prices would be limited due to supply side changes.

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Weak Pound leads international bargain hunters to Bond Street.

October 20th, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Employment, Exchage Rate, Recession, Retail, Stocks and shares, The Budget, UK Banks, UK employment, World Banks

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The weaker Pound and an insurge of wealthy foreign shoppers wishing to take advantage of the satiation have contributed to a major revival in retail sales in the shopping centres of London during September. The British Retail Consortium who are involved in producing the London Retail Sales Monitor, have announced that retail sales in central London were up by 7.5 percent on September 2008. The largest month-for-month increase in 12 trading months. Even more encouraging, were sales figures released by the New West End Company, who monitor sales from retailers based around the highly exclusive Bond Street, Oxford Street and Regent Street region in the West End of London. There retailer were reporting an increase of 25 percent jump in sales in September when compared to August, as well as a 4.6 per cent increase on September 2008.

Britain’s banks could be in line to pay windfall taxes that could reach punitive levels. if they are unable or unwilling to provide acceptable guarantees that they will discard their long running practices of tax avoidance. In a recent statement, officials of the UK Treasury described speculation that tax raids on the banks under their spotlight was imminent is being unfounded, as well as reports that higher levels of corporation tax would be imposed as “not being currently under consideration”. The major UK banks have been negotiating with the Inland Revenue and the Treasury for some time to ensure that their tax payments adhere “to the spirit of the law rather than the letter”. The “powers that be” are looking for a new approach from the banks, and on that will be in contrast to their approach before the bail out of the financial system late last year, that was largely funded by the British taxpayer..

The Treasury is working on a new tax code with the banks, with a final verdict expected ahead of the chancellor Alistair Darling’s forthcoming pre-Budget report. One Treasury official said: “If the banks were not participating we would need to look at other channels, but at this stage they are playing ball

Willie Walsh, chief executive of British Airways has announced that he has held "open and frank" talks with union leaders, in order to prevent cabin crew balloting for strike action. Both sides have been involved in a long running conflict regarding BA’s plans to cut 1,700 jobs as well as making further changes to pay and conditions for other members of the BA staff. The union representing the airline’s employees, Unite, has stated that they will have little option but to ballot for industrial action if BA’s changes are imposed on their members. A representative of BA announced that Mr Walsh had written to unite joint leader Derek Simpson after the meeting, while the union declined to comment.

The pound continued its steady rise, despite faltering slightly against the Euro and the Swiss Franc.

  • Pound/US dollar 1.6425
  • Pound/Euro 1.10969
  • Pound/Japanese Yen 147.9728
  • Pound/Swiss Franc 1.6587

The FTSE 100 had a good day, up 91.34 points to 5281.54 The FTSE 250 rose strongly on the day’s trading, up 138.44 points to close on. 9564.64.

Chairman of the US Fed Ben Bernanke announced on Monday that the US and Asia adopt policies that prevent a revival of global economic imbalances as the financial crisis ebbs, and such a move was “extraordinarily urgent”. Bernanke went on to warned that global imbalances, meaning the large gaps between national saving, consumption and investment rates that were reflected in large trade deficits and surpluses needed to be bridged. The US must establish “a sustainable fiscal trajectory anchored by a clear commitment to substantially reduce federal deficits over time”. he continued

The Dow Jones index recovered strongly on Monday’s trading; climbing again above the 10,000 points mark, as encouraging US bank results fuelled optimism for the global economy. The Dow Jones was up .96.28 points to close on 10092.19 The NASDAQ Composite index also recovered all of Friday’s losses, up 19.52 points to close for the day on 2,176.32.

Annual car production in China has topped the 10 million mark for the first time in the industry’s history, with car makers boosting output to meet the ever growing demand. Despite the global downturn in demand for new cars for most of the major car makers, demand for cars is bucking the trend with state incentives, such as tax cuts on small cars, going a long way to boosting sales

The price of oil has continued to rise, mostly on the back of the weak US dollar reaching a new high for 2009. US crude settled up $1.08 at $79.61 in New York trading, while London Brent rose 78 cents to at $77.77

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House prices rise again in September.

October 8th, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Employment, Exchage Rate, Recession, Retail, Stocks and shares, The Budget, UK Banks, UK employment, World Banks

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For the third consecutive month of increase, UK housing prices have increased. They are reported to have risen by as much as 1.6% in September. Housing prices in the UK continue to remain considerably lower than in September 2008, as much as 7.4 percent. However since the end of 2008, prices have grown by 1.7 percent as increased demand and reduced inventory have combined to push housing prices up, especially in the recent months. House prices increased by 2.8% in the third quarter of 2009, making for the first rise since the third quarter of 2007, and the largest percentage growth since the first quarter of the same year. The increased demand for property is believed to stems from improved affordability, and the reduction in both interest rates.

It may come to pass that the U.K.’s largest government-controlled bank, the Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc (RBS) may have to surrender more than ten percent of their one million small business customers, The reason being that the European Commission has imposed a penalty on the RBS for receiving billions of pounds of state aid. Currently it is reported that the RBS, in a move designed to reduce their credit card risk portfolio are only issuing new cards to existing clients.

The Office for National Statistics has announced that U.K. manufacturing output has slumped 1.9% from the month in August whilst dropping 11.3% on a yearly basis. The wider industrial production measure fell 2.5% from July and slid 11.2% from August 2008.

The FTSE 100 rose by 2.26 percent on yesterday’s trading, or 113.65 points to close on 5137.98. The FTSE 250 was still on the rise, but at a reduced pace, closing up a further 25.12 points to close for the day on 9,226.35.

The pound made a minor recovery against the leading currencies, while continuing to hover around $1.60. The Sterling’s latest bout of weakness surrounding Sterling began after UK industrial production was shown to have slumped in August. Additional statistics released on Wednesday show that corporate profitability in the UK had deteriorated for a fifth successive quarter and is standing at its lowest level since 2001.

  • Pound/US dollar 1.5958
  • Pound/Euro 1.10863
  • Pound/Japanese Yen 141.422
  • Pound/Swiss Franc 1.64861

Europe’s largest discount airline, Ryanair Holdings Plc set aside as being of “no substance” recent reports claiming that the company is preparing to take control of Aer Lingus Group Plc through a rights issue. In another sign of the advantage that short-haul, low-cost carriers such as EasyJet hold over long-haul flag carriers during the current downturn, the company announced that it had handled more than 4.4 million passengers in September, an increase of 5.3 per cent over the corresponding month in 2008. The increase, the largest since April, was well above the 4.7 per cent rise the airline recorded in August, traditionally one of its busiest months. In any event, stock in EasyJet fell 0.3 percent, to 3.38 Euros.

According to Sir Terry Leahy, chief executive of Tesco, the worst is over for the UK economy as well as for the U.K.’s premier food retailer. Sir Terry’s revelation came after Tesco’s announced pre-tax profit for the first half of its financial year rose that had risen by 1 per cent to £1.42 billion. Sir Terry prediction is that that the UK would see a “slow and steady recovery” as the money pumped into the economy to stimulate it had to be paid back. He added that uncertainties over the financial outlook for 2010, such as public sector cuts, the proposed increase in value added tax and the threat of rising unemployment, would not be sufficient to prevent “a gradual recovery. Sir Terry also defended Tesco’s performance in the US, where its Fresh & Easy chain has reported losses of £85 million in the six months to the end of August. Shares in Tesco rose 0.4 percent, to 391.4 pence.

The management team at Matalan have reportedly held several meetings over the past few weeks to examine strategic options for the discount clothing and home-ware retailer. Subjects on the agenda included the possible sale of the company during 2010 with an asking price of around £1.5 billion pounds. If a sale was to go through, and discussions are at a very early stage, company founder John Hargreaves would be liable to realise hundreds of millions of pounds in profits from the sale. Matalan have invested significant sums of money in revamping their 200 UK stores have reported solid profits for June.

Shares in Vodafone, the World’s largest mobile phone service providers were under pressure for a second day, dropping 2 per cent to 137 pence. The share price fall could be attributed to a culmination of factors, among them, fears of a price war in India, and analyst’s predictions that AT&T was considering opening their mobile network to third-party voice applications such as Skype. A move that would put pressure on Vodafone’s Verizon Wireless division to emulate.

In the year to 30 September, the US budget deficit more than tripled to a record £877 billion ($1.4 trillion) according to US Congress estimate figures recently released. Analysts had previously predicted a slightly higher deficit but later revised their estimate, which has been attributed to increased government spending coupled with a huge drop in tax revenues. The actual deficit will be released by the Treasury Department later this month.

The Dow Jones index dropped a little on yesterday’s trading, closing on 9725.58, down 5.67 points. The NASDAQ index continued to rise, but at a slower pace, up just 6.76 points to close on 2,110.33.

The White House have announced that it was weighing policy options designed to create new jobs to ease the burden on America’s unemployed, currently numbering more than 15 million. A spokesman for the President hasted to rule out speculation that a second stimulus to provide a further boost to the US economy was on the cards. The majority of US economists believe that the country was on track to move out of recession. However the black cloud of increasing unemployment is hanging over the picture, with unemployment figures hitting 9.8 per cent, the highest rate since 1982.

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It’s that "I said it at the Brighton conference" season again.

September 29th, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Exchage Rate, Money Management, Recession, Stocks and shares, The Budget, UK Banks, World Banks

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Government ministers will use this week’s Labour party conference to claim government action helped pull the country back from the economic abyss, while their Tory counterparts will as surely use their own conference next week to blame the government for the downturn’s depth.

According to the Confederation of British Industry (CBI) employers’ organisation, after the general election, public spending should be cut harder and faster than the government intends. The next government should aim to balance their books by 2015-16, which is two years earlier than the plan set out in this year’s Labour Party Budget. The feeling at the CBI is that while it was essential an incoming government laid out a “clear and credible” plan to get the budget back into balance, the organisation remains undecided whether the process of cutting spending should start next year, according to the opposition Conservative party’s proposals.

According to internal company data, Opel’s U.K. and Spanish car plants are more efficient than two of its three German factories. Figures for December show the Russelheim plant in Germany took almost 10 hours more to assemble a car than the Ellesmere Port factory in Britain and 14 hours more than in Zaragoza, Spain. These figures are likely be used by those demanding the European Commission “take a tough stand” on the sale of General Motors’s Opel unit to Magna International Inc. Job losses are expected to be heavier outside Germany under that proposal, which is being brokered by the German government.

The proposed UK government six pound telephone line tax due to be implemented by the end of 2010 has apparently raised some eyebrows in the business community. The proposal, aimed to partly fund the investment required for a new UK national broadband network. Has met with a surprising response from British business who claim that six pound per telephone line would prove insufficient and could hold back the UK broadband sector for some time to come. Government thinking is apparently that many consumers are already upset about the need to pay six pound every year, although they have no current access to broadband, and the government is trying to keep the cost per family down, but to what effect.

UK-based domestic insurance group HomeServe has sold its loss-making emergency repair services unit for £11 million. HomeServe Emergency Services (HES) was acquired by Midlands-based LDC, the private equity arm of Lloyds Banking Group. The division posted a loss for the first half of this year, and HomeServe was reportedly keen to sell it off, reducing its valuation by £97 million to make the sale. HES, who employ 2,400 people at offices in Norwich, Nottingham, and Beverley, is made up of three trading businesses, including HomeServe Glass and Locks, who provide and emergency glazing and locksmith service; HomeServe, Chem-Dry, who provide emergency restoration of water damage and accidental damage; and HomeServe Content Services, who have developed a software designed to assist insurance firms validate contents insurance claims.

The FTSE 100 registered its sharpest gain in three weeks on Monday, as it jumped 83.50 points to close on 5,165.70 The FTSE 250 reversed most of last week’s fall, up 108.96 points to 9169.40.

The pound continued to enjoy mixed fortunes against the major currencies.

  • • Pound/US dollar 1.5879
  • • Pound/Euro 1.10867
  • • Pound/Japanese Yen 142.4182
  • • Pound/Swiss Franc 1.64

Photocopier giant Xerox, already the world’s biggest supplier of digital printer and document management services, has unveiled a takeover deal which takes it into the fields of data management and technology outsourcing. The company is buying fellow US firm Affiliated Computer Services (ACS) in a cash and shares deal worth £4 billion.

Wall Street on Monday recorded its biggest daily gain for over a month after merger deals lifted investor confidence. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 124.17 points to 9,789.36. The NASDAQ jumped 39.82 to close on 2130.74. Last week, Wall Street suffered its biggest weekly loss since July after disappointing data on durable goods and housing sales.

Germany equities led European bourses higher on Monday aided by a particularly strong performance from the German utility sector, after Chancellor Angela Merkel’s Christian Democratic Union and her Free Democratic allies gained a majority in parliament on Sunday.

In a move designed to ease the impact of the global economic crisis on central and Eastern Europe, the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development has appealed for an increase of 50 per cent in working capital.

The multilateral bank, controlled by some 60 governments, including European Union members, the US and Japan, is asking for an extra £9 billion (€10 billion,) necessary to expand their lending capabilities as well as compensating for a sharp decline in private capital flow, especially into the cash strapped former communist countries.

The bank’s move highlights the bank’s concerns that the region’s difficulties may be forgotten as world leaders grapple with the effects of the global crisis.

The yen rose to a seven-month high versus the dollar as Japan’s new government reiterated its opposition to intervening to stem a currency’s gain and the Federal Reserve pledged to keep interest rates low. Japan’s yen advanced 1.8 percent this week to 89.64 per dollar, from 91.29 on September the 18th at one point touching 89.51 yen, the strongest level for almost nine months.

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Its Lehman Brothers day – a time for financial contemplation.

September 16th, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Employment, Energy Prices, Global Credit Crisis, Recession, Retail, Stocks and shares, The Budget, UK Banks, UK employment, World Banks

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It was a day for financial contemplation on Tuesday as the first anniversary of Lehman Brothers filing for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection in the early hours of 15 September 2008 was marked, not quite by a minute’s silence but by many hours of contemplation of who the World’s financial systems almost went into meltdown.

Following the collapse of Lehman Brothers, once the fourth-largest US investment bank, the knock on effect caused meant that governments around the world had to pump trillions into their financial systems. The previously unimagined bank bail-outs, central bank actions and huge stimulus plans to save their biggest banks followed. Moves that are estimated to have cost every citizen of the developed world around $10,000 each..

On the day, Paul Myners, the minister who job it is to oversee London’s financial district, announced that he remains “very confident” that the UK’s multibillion-pound bailout of its troubled lenders will result in a profit for the country.

Last year the U.K. orchestrated a rescue package for banks including Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc and Lloyds Banking Group Plc. In the April annual budget the government submitted to Parliament it estimated that the bailout may cost taxpayers £50 billion

When asked to give his impressions when investments in the UK banking system would result in profit for members of the U.K. public, Myners replied by assessing that it will take “much less” time than a decade, and when it came it would add up to a “a nice little nest egg for the British taxpayer.”

Speaking of nest eggs or was it Easter eggs, Cadbury’s chief executive Todd Stitzer is due to be in the hot seat today, when he faces a group of the company’s’ top level investors since Kraft’s £10.2 billion unsolicited takeover proposal was rejected by the company. Stitzer as well as Andrew Bonfield, Cadbury’s chief financial officer are expected to be asked to outline the confectionery group’s long-term growth plans. The address was scheduled before Kraft approached Cadbury late last month.

UK oil and gas explorer, BG Group have announced another oil and gas discovery in a giant field off the coast of Brazil on Monday, making it the second in less than a week.

BG said further work was needed to evaluate the results before any concrete announcement can be made.

Hopes of a swift economic rebound and warned households and businesses of a “slow and protracted” recovery, according to Mervyn King, Bank of England governor.

King’s comments led to a sharp reassessment in financial markets of the likelihood and timing of any rise in interest rates.

The pound has taken a beating in the last few days, falling against all the major currencies for the last three months.

  • Pound/US dollar 1.6477
  • Pound/Euro 1.122
  • Pound/Japanese Yen 148.8052
  • Pound/Swiss Franc 1.7034

The FTSE 100 continued its upswing rising 60.31 points to finish on 5.102.44 while the FTSE 250 rose on Tuesday by 87.24 points to 9251.84/

The US recession is probably over but the economy will remain weak for some time due to unemployment, Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke has said.

But he added that the economy would still feel "very weak" to Americans concerned about job security.

A year after Lehman Brothers collapsed, a think tank has warned the lessons of the crisis have not been learned.

The Institute for Public Policy Research (IPPR) says the rapid return to the City’s bonus culture shows that real reform has been "very limited".

The warnings echoed a speech by US President Barack Obama, who warned of complacency in the banking sector.

Despite President Obama’s and Bernanke’s comments , stocks on Wall Street rose on the day’s trading. The Dow Jones rose by 56.61 points to 9683.41, while the NASDAQ rose by 10.86 points to 2102.64.

Japan Airlines (JAL) plans to cut 6,800 jobs, as an airline trade body upped its projected losses for the global industry this year.

Media reports have said several US and European airlines are in the running to take a stake in the loss-making carrier.

The airline had already launched a programme of job cuts, plans for fuel-efficiency and a focus on business customers.

Reports this week have suggested that Delta Airlines and American Airlines are in talks to invest in JAL to expand into Asia via code-sharing agreements.

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Days of price fixing may be over as the Office of Fair Trading cracks down.

August 20th, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Exchage Rate, Gold, Money Management, Recession, Saving, The Budget, The Markets, UK Bank Accounts, UK Banks, World Banks, savings accounts

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The Office of Fair Trading (OFT) get their way , in the very near future company directors who turn a blind eye to price fixing at their companies are liable to be banned for up to 15 years. According to a statement published by the OFT, Britain’s antitrust regulator are preparing considerably tougher penalties not only for directors who were directly involved in price fixing but also those who were guilty by default. The current rules ban only directors who themselves breach competition law through offences such as price-fixing.

In common with other U.K. regulatory bodies the OFT, intend to raise the penalties for those individuals who are found guilty of price fixing, including jail sentences. To show that these are not empty threats, the OFT has recently charged four former and current executives of British Airways Plc with fixing the price of fuel surcharges on transatlantic flights with one of their competitors. If found guilty, the four could go to prison for as long as five years.

Anyone saying that the UK economy is dying obviously hasn’t been talking to their funeral undertakers recently. As is often the case, the funeral industry is experiencing record upturn in trade that has been going on for the last year at least. Not that more people are dying, just that many are concerned that when the time comes when they will be called to leave this Earth, their loved ones wall be unable to meet the bill. For this reason, more and more UK subjects are joining a plan organized by Britain’s largest provider of funeral plans to pay for their funeral in advance through easy payments.

The company, Co-operative Funeral care, who operate 1,100 funeral homes across the O.K., announced this week that they experienced a 28% increase in the number of funeral plan sales during the last six months alone.

A spokesman for Co-operative Funeral care pointed out that subscribing to a funeral plan represented a sound investment for people as they are guaranteed against future increases in costs.

Funeral plans, however do not cover all the costs with the "future clients" having to pay for their burial plot.

Northern Rock, the UK building society come bank, who recently reported first-half losses of £725 million, has announced that they will be deferring payments on some of its subordinated debt to help conserve capital. The UK bank, largely public owned, where permissible. Granite, the bank’s securitisation vehicle, will be unaffected.

Thomas Cook, the UK travel group announced that a large part of insolvent German retailer, Arcandor’s 53 per cent stake in the company could be sold to institutional investors as early as next month as their creditor banks attempt to reduce their loan burden.

Arcandor’s banks, led by Royal Bank of Scotland, Commerzbank and Bayern LB were reported to be still in the market for find a strategic buyer for the company so that they could sell off their combined 44 per cent stake. –.

Demands for rented accommodation will grow to eventually reach than a third of UK households within a decade, doubling the number since 2005.

With public sector construction spending expected to weaken over the next 18 months, consumers who are unable or unwilling to purchase their own property will create a strong demand for rented homes. These predictions come from Gravis Snook, chief executive of Rok, the construction and maintenance group. "He continued "The model where the individual borrows large sums to buy a house that they never quite pay off is somewhat suspect."

The group had been in talks with a number of social housing groups regarding the establishment of joint ventures with institutional investors to profit from this demand.

The FTSE 100 was in consolidation mode yesterday rising just 3.89 points to close on 4689.67. The FTSE 250 also recovered slightly, rising 15.77 points to close on 8,370.25

The pound improved against the dollar, whilst taking a tumble against the rest of the major currencies.

  • Pound/US dollar 1.6509
  • Pound/Euro 1.1624
  • Pound/Japanese Yen 155.3987
  • Pound/Swiss Franc 1.7614

Research in Motion (RIM) designers and producers of the BlackBerry smartphone have won the coveted honor as the company to watch, by the highly ranked Fortune Magazine.

RIM, based in Canada were ranked first in a list of the fastest growing firms around the world, due to their tremendous success with the BlackBerry Curve in the US, where they hold a 74 per cent share of the business smartphone market.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average continued to recover from its collapse earlier in the week, rising a further 61.22 points to close on 9279.16. The NASDAQ also showed improvement up 13.32 points to close on 1969.24

Another interesting phenomenon was unveiled this week mirroring the unhealthy condition of the World’s leading economies. It has been reported that as the US economy has contracted and employment opportunities have considerably contracted, the number of Mexicans crossing into the US by legal and illegal means appears to have fallen considerably. Statistics show that the number of people legally entering the US from Mexico, mostly looking for work, has fallen by nearly 40 per cent since 2006 to an annual average of about 350,000. Even more compelling news is that according to official statistics, the number of people apprehended trying to enter the US illegally fell to 724,000 in 2008, the lowest since 1973.

While the Department of Homeland Security claim that the decline is related to tougher border protection efforts, however many claim that the slump in US economy is the real reason.

Oil prices dipped ahead of the latest US inventories data while base metals retreated after a sharp fall in the Chinese stock market

Demand for gold sank in the second quarter after jewellery consumption dropped by more than a fifth and investment interest slowed as the threat of meltdown in the global financial system receded

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Financial stimulus in the UK not reaching the construction industry

August 12th, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Daily News, Employment, Recession, The Budget

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Recent reports have it that the injection of public money that is supposed to pump new life into the construction industry is just not making it. Construction projects across the UK lay abandoned and uncompleted sector, glaring evidence that the sharpest contraction that the building sector has ever known looks a long way from ending.

According to a recent survey carried out on behalf of the industry, the UK government pledge to re-programme more than £3 billion of publicly owned construction projects , that were due to begin in 2010 and 2011 to this year, have failed to materialise as yet. The idea of bringing these projects forward was to offset that painful lack of new building starts in the private sector.

However a recent report from the Construction Products Association revealed that a nationwide cross section of their members reported that instead of the promised increase in new projects, even existing construction projects have been mothballed by the UK government as funding dries up. These projects include important and much needed public works including schools, hospitals road works and general infrastructure, had found public work had declined over the past year. Of the civil engineering and building companies contributing to the survey, 47 per cent of them reported lower work rates in the first quarter of 2009. Construction companies involved in building social housing reported a fall of project completions 27 percent compared to last year.

According to a spokesman for the UK Contractor’s Group, the government stimuli that was promised in Darling’s budget and pre-budget reports have so far failed to appear and their absence is having a very distinct impact on the UK construction industry, which has been hardest hit by the recession. The sector accounts for about 8 per cent of UK output and a similar percentage of jobs.

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RBS may still have a few more surprises up their sleeve- most of them unpleasant.

June 18th, 2009 by admin | 0 Comments | Filed in Daily News, Employment, Money Management, Recession, Saving, The Budget, UK Bank Accounts, UK Banks

bankingAs the Royal Bank of Scotland’ struggles to push itself out of the quagmire created by Sir Fred and his crew, unpleasant surprises continue to emerge. A recent statement by incumbent CEO Stephen Hester made at the recent British Property Federation conference. The bank’s losses on real estate loans could be higher than it has provisioned for.
Hester went on to add that the bank’s updated assessment is that it could take between three and five years for the excessive level of property lending to level out. Summing up on a more positive note, Mr. Hester said that he foresaw for the future that RBS would need to reduce its exposure to the sector significantly, but that it would “behave responsibly and play a long game”, helped by the fact that most borrowers were continuing to service the interest on their debts.

Meanwhile UK chancellor Alistair Darling issued a warning to the British Bankers’ Association that further regulation and a crackdown on sloppy boardroom practices are on their way, including new regulations on higher liquidity and capital standards at banks. His announcement comes ahead of the release of a Treasury white paper next week on financial regulation, and the forthcoming EU summit in Brussels on plans for regional regulation of the banks.

That perennial bearer of bad news, the Office for National Statistics announced that UK unemployment has passed the two and a quarter million mark, in the three months to April 2009, making for the highest UK unemployment levels since November 1996. However there was a minor crumb of comfort to be taken from the news that the number of people claiming unemployment benefit rose by only 39,000, less than the 60,000 forecast by analysts.

Bus and rail operator National Express have announced the successful renegotiation of terms against their outstanding £1.2 billion, allaying fears that the company were liable to breach payment conditions set on the existing loan.

National Express have been fighting an uphill battle coping with servicing such a massive debt burden, whilst struggling with a major slump in passenger revenues, especially on its East Coast train franchise. At the same time, payments to the Department for Transport to service the franchise have been on constant increase.

And if things are bad on the ground, then they seem to be a lot worse in the air. If you need confirmation ask Willie Walsh, British Airways chief executive, who is facing fresh conflict with the unions on his proposal that BA staff should follow his personal example and work without pay for a month.

Walsh sent a personal note to each of the company’s 40,000 employees, asking them to volunteer for up to four weeks of unpaid work or unpaid holiday leave. Either option means no salary.

Needless to say it looks like Walsh faces a tough task convincing staff to accept his proposal, being that there is already no love lost between the company and the unions. Both Willie Walsh and BA’s chief financial officer Keith Williams set a precedent by announcing that they will be waiving their salaries for July. However a spokesman for Unite, BA’s biggest union, remained unmoved and unimpressed by observing that: “Willie Walsh can afford to work a month for free. Our members can’t

On the stock market, Sainsbury’s shares dropped 5.65 per cent to 313 pence after a surprise announcement that they plan to raise £445 million of fresh capital through a stock issue estimated to be worth £255 million as well as £190 million of convertible bonds offer. The capital is earmarked to fund the company’s growth; a spokesman for Sainsbury’s pointed out.

On the announcement that they had acquired a majority stake in an Indonesian clove cigarette maker shares in British American Tobacco (BAT) rose 0.2 per cent to 1660 pence. The acquisition that will cost BAT around £300 million will elevate the company to be the world’s fifth-biggest tobacco company, increasing their global market share from 2 per cent to 9 per cent.

The recent publication of the Digital Britain white paper has already worked wonders for the BT Group as hopes that government plans to extend broadband internet access would greatly benefit the fixed-line operator. After an advance of 8 per cent on Tuesday, shares in BT in rose a further 3 per cent to 106 pence.

Yesterday was not such a great day for FTSE. The 100 continued on its course of fluctuation this week falling 50.11 points to finish on 4,278.46. The FTSE 250 continued its rapid downward descent this time losing 174.45 points to close on 7,309.05.

Sterling rose for the second day again ever so slightly against the dollar, while losing considerable ground against the other major currencies

Pound/US dollar 1.6427
Pound/Euro 1.1766
Pound/Japanese Yen 157.0514
Pound/Swiss Franc 1.7711

The US government has announced a major reform of banking regulation to prevent future financial crises. The overhaul will require big banks to set more money aside against future losses to curb excessive risk taking. Consumers will enjoy the protection through a new government agency formed to protect their interests as well as regulating credit on mortgages and credit cards.

The US equities market moved into fluctuation mode on Wednesday as the government released details of their proposed regulations.
The Dow Jones rose 42.77 points to close on 8547.44, while the NASDAQ climbed back over the 1800 barrier, up 23.99 points to 1820.17.

US consumer prices rose less than had been expected in May, as the recession continued to keep inflation down.

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