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Congratulations. It’s been a year now since the Bank of England increased their interest rates.

March 5th, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Exchage Rate, Global Credit Crisis, Loans, Money Management, Mortgages, Recession, Saving, Savings Accounts, Stocks and shares, UK Bank Accounts, UK Banks, World Banks, savings accounts

financial news

It came as no big surprise to anybody when the Bank of England (BOE) announced that they will be holding interest rates at their record low of 0.5%, and for the twelfth consecutive month.

The BOE’s decision gained a consensus of approval by UK economists, who pronounced, individually and collectively that rises in the cost of borrowing could set the UK’s fragile economic recovery back into the red.

The announcement that the bank will be standing firm on the amount of money that will be pumped into quantitative easing program (QE) programme was also met with a similar apathy.

BOE governor Mervyn King has long since made clear his opinion on increasing interest rates raising QE quotas, and all the rest of the UK’s financial programs by simply stating that that it was “far too soon” to make any changes to the status quo.

Sterling has now dropped in value for six consecutive trading days, with the bulk of opinion on the Pound’s increasingly weak position being because of speculation that the forthcoming general election is liable to see a hung parliament which translates to a government that will be too weak to mend the UK’s financial problems. Since the beginning of 2010, the pound has dropped by seven percent against the dollar, reaching a ten month low of $1.4783 on March the 2nd. The pound closed on Thursday on $1.5051 while the Euro was stabilising at 1.1078.

Financial Service Institute (FSA) chairman Lord Turner has voiced his opinion that that the size of banks was also not the main reason behind the economic turmoil, and even some of the UK’s smaller financial institutions could have been pronounced equally guilty of “over-exuberant lending” and taking “risky short-term wholesale deposits, Turner explained “Everyone was seduced by the long boom and were often led astray in the past by complicated mathematical rules. The Bank’s regulators were the ones who failed to notice the inherent weakness in that position.”

The FSA chairman also went on to explain that when the time comes to add up the cost of bailing out the financial services industry at the height of the global financial crisis may in the end turn out to be a lot less than first predicted.

“It is quite possible that the total overt costs of the UK’s big bank rescues may not exceed five-ten per cent of GDP," Turner predicted in a recent interview "and perhaps considerably less as indeed was the case in the Swedish banking crisis of the 1990s.” He summed up.

Recent research is pointing to a situation that increasingly adds weight to the theory that the UK’s property rental sector is heading towards a similar model of the mainland European countries of increasingly longer tenancy agreements.

According to one of the UKs largest letting agencies, during the last year and a half, a fairly dramatic increase in demand for rented accommodation has been observed, with potential tenants being especially interested in properties with long term tenure periods.

Reasons given for this new phenomena in property rental appears to be largely causes by increasing difficulties of young families to raise the new and higher deposit levels required to be granted a mortgage, while around a third confessed that they were unsure that the conditions were ripe to put their toe in the still turbulent waters of the UK property market. With almost 40 percent of potential first-time home buyers opting to remain tenants in the meantime, because of the current tough mortgage-lending criteria and 14% of those questioned said they preferred life as a tenant to that of a homeowner.

Home ownership in the UK has fallen by three percent since 2003 with the trend likely to continue. Several of the UK’s leading property management companies now believe that the UK Government now needs to ensure that renting a home offers the stability levels that are currently only afforded to home owners.

British Airways, once again under strike threat have dug in by saying that more than one thousand of the staff have volunteered to work as cabin crew if indeed the threatened strike goes ahead.

As a further back up, BA announced that they also intended to hire no less than 23 fully crewed planes from a leading European owned charter company. The company’s role will be to help run flights from Heathrow Airport should the strike threats eventually materialise.

The Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders (SMMT) recently announced that new car sales in the UK increased by 26.4% in February compared with the same month in 2009, with the main push in demand coming because of the Government’s scrappage scheme.

Launched in May of last year in an effort to boost the ailing car industry, the £400 million initiative, which allowed owners of cars at least 10 years old would be offered a £2,000 discount off the price of a new vehicle, with half of the grant being provided by the UK Government and the other £1,000 coming from the lucky carmaker. Figures from the SMMT show that almost 20 percent of new car sales in February came a result of the scheme, which is due to be wound up by the end of March.

On the stock market, Barclays Plc’s Asian partner, the China Development Bank announced that they will be reviewing their “ties” with the bank, U.K.’s second-biggest. The announcement caused shares in Barclays to rise one percent, to 333.1 pence.

The U.K.’s third-largest supermarket owner J Sainsbury Plc has announced plans to expand their activities into non-food products. They will be marketing electronics, entertainment and sports equipment among others through their Web site. Despite the excitement, Sainsbury shares 0.2 percent, to close on 335.4 pence.

Michael Page International Plc, the U.K.’s second- largest recruitment company announced a drop in full-year pretax profit of no less than 85 percent to £21.1 million pounds. Despite the reversal, their shares climbed 6 1.7 percent, to close on 395 pence.

The benchmark FTSE 100 Index fell 0.1 percent, to close on Thursday at 5,527.16.

On Wall Street, for the Dow Jones Industrial Average the only way was up, this time rising 47.38 points to close on 10,444.14. The NASDAQ Composite also held its own, rising 11 points to close on 2,292.31.

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Brown not to blame for Europe’s financial woes

February 16th, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Exchage Rate, Recession, Retail, Stocks and shares, UK Banks, UK employment, World Banks

financial news

Blame can be attached to UK Prime Minister Gordon Brown for many of the nation’s financial woes, rightly or not. On one fact, however, there is a consensus. That he had the foresight to keep the UK out of the euro. The recent financial crisis has shown that the structural weakness of the eurozone, which already seems to be crumbling, with the Greek tragedy exposing the weakness of a system of "mutual guarantees" by 16 different fiscal regimes. Opponents of the UK joining the single currency are basking in the light of their wisdom, but the smiles may soon be wiped from their faces, as it looks like Britain may be pulled into the crisis indirectly. This may happen if the International Monetary Fund (IMF) gets involved although the UK will be nowhere near the front line of a rescue package, unlike the Germans and the French.

Rumors that the problems that Greece, Spain, Portugal and Italy are experiencing– will lead to a break-up of the European currency is far-fetched. Above anything else, the single currency is a Franco-German political project with huge symbolic investment for postwar, post-Iron Curtain Europe.

The problem for Greece and the other Mediterranean counties is that their membership of the single currency means that they cannot devalue its way out of difficulty.

The UK Secretary of State for Business, Lord Mandelson has predicted that a decision on government funding to help rescue the car manufacturer Vauxhall could be completed within weeks. GM.UL is said to be looking for an investment of £2.9 billion pounds from European governments to facilitate a return to growth. Mandelson confirmed that the government is prepared to play a part in the rescue plans and that negotiations have started over what conditions could be imposed in return for government support

Difficult though it may be to accept, a recent survey on the banking sector has revealed that 57 percent of UK bankers and financiers received a bonus increase during 2009. The poll, which took in close to seven hundred financial professionals indicates that the Chancellor’s "super tax" on bankers’ bonuses had caused little effect on lavish remuneration packages.

More than a third of the bankers in the poll saw their bonuses either decrease or at least remain static. However those who fell into the this category did not cite the super tax to be the primary reason for the absence of an increase, preferring to cast the blame, and rightly so, on the performance of their companies with half of those who did miss out on a bonus were reported to be less than satisfied.

Prominent UK property developers the Shaftesbury Group have announced a major upturn in demand for property in the West End of London, with the Christmas and New Year period especially brisk. Shaftesbury announced a significant increase in new tenant agreements approved at rates at or above recent property values for the company’s various assets. While many UK property companies still struggling to honour their various banking covenants, the overall picture denotes that the UK property tide has turned, the company reports.

Lloyds Banking Group (LBG) is looking to sell or spin off major assets from the failing £70 billion pound property. The bank is establishing a review process, which currently in its early stages. The process will seek to reduce the amount of regulatory capital tied up in keeping the assets on Lloyds’ balance sheet, with the strategy expected to be finalised by Easter. At the same time, Lloyds plan to step up their sale of HBOS Integrated Finance, an investment business with stakes in about 60 companies.

Meanwhile the Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS), remain sitting on losses of several hundred million pounds after being forced to take back ownership of £1.8 billion in German properties bought at the market’s peak by a fund run by Morgan Stanley. In one of the largest paper losses on property for a UK bank, RBS has taken control of a portfolio of 28 German properties, after lending about €1.9 billion to acquire the portfolio in 2007. RBS are to follow the trend set by LBG to hold on to the properties until they return at least some of the losses..

Mobile telecommunications operator O2 believes that its purchase of Jajah, an Israeli voice over internet protocol (VoIP) company, will help the firm out- perform rival mobile operators and the current VoIP market leader Skype. A spokesman for Telefonica Europe, O2’s parent company, said that the company will use Jajah to attack the international calling card market, currently worth £100 million pounds a month in the UK, rather than to slash mobile call costs.

Fashion chain New Look are giving a lot of indications that they will become the third company in as many days to scrap a planned stock market flotation. The writing seems to be on the wall for New Look’s float, when they called off a proposed £1.7 billion initial public offering (IPO) on Friday, blaming a lack of appetite among potential investors. New Look had planned to raise a total of £650 million pounds from their IPO, using the money to cut debt as well as fund an expansion programme in the UK and overseas.

As the FTSE 100 was switched off for the weekend UK, stocks had receded a little The 100 Index was down 10.03 points to 5,142.45

The pound rose slightly against the dollar, closing at 1.5702 while jumping to 1.1522 against the struggling Euro.

President Barack Obama has signed a law increasing the limit on how much the US government can borrow.

The debt limit was raised to $14.3 trillion (£9.1 trillion) from $12.4 trillion, which will allow the government to function for the rest of the year.

Correspondingly Mr Obama also approved legislation that requires new spending to be offset with cuts elsewhere. The legislation will seek to address the record US budget deficit, which is predicted to reach $1.56 trillion in 2010.

The "pay-as-you-go" or "paygo" rule was in place in the 1990s – the last time there was a federal budget surplus.

On Wall Street things were still looking up. The Dow Jones Industrial Average finished for the weekend up 41 points at 10099.14. The NASDAQ gained 33 points to close on 2,183.53.

According to the US Commerce Department, retail sales rose at a higher rate than expected in January, boosting hopes that strong economic recovery will continue. Sales grew 0.5% month-on-month, while December’s figure was revised to a 0.1% fall from a first estimate of a 0.3% fall.

Sales were up by 4.7%, Compared with January 2009.

According to preliminary figures released on Friday, Germany’s recovery from recession faltered in the final quarter of 2009, failing to show any signs of growth at all in the last quarter of the year. France did better, reporting a 0.6% rise in GDP for the same three-month period which was higher than forecast. The figures released also showed that the economy in the Eurozone also grew 0.1% in the same quarter.

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UK may be in the same bed with Spain and Greece.

February 10th, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Energy Prices, Exchage Rate, Recession, Retail, UK Banks, UK Small Business, World Banks

financial news

According to a leading economist the UK should be classed with Greece and Spain, as countries carrying severe debt problems Not in agreement and understandably so are the UK Treasury sources who rebuked the suggestions that the UK was gradually becoming one of the poor relations of Europe by confirming that all of the three major credit-rating agencies had reaffirmed the UK’s triple A credit status.

Meanwhile Chancellor of the Exchequer Alistair Darling is the man faced with balancing the demands of investors and rating companies who fear that Britain’s top-level credit rating could be at risk, with the hopes of the UK public as well as some of his colleagues for an easing of taxation in the coming budget. Darling has already put the dampers on a lot of people’s hopes that this year’s budget will not be too populist, in a move to win votes for the general election that is due to follow a few months later

“People in the U.K. will want the budget to be realistic,” Darling was quoted as saying. “No one is looking for giveaways; that’s not the mood.” He summed up. Darling said voters realize the need to reduce Britain’s record budget deficit having already vowed to more than halve the £176 billion-pound deficit by 2014 starting next year.

Britain’s budget shortfall, which the Treasury estimates at about 12 percent of gross domestic product this year, is the biggest among the Group of 20 nations.

Dividends paid out shareholders by UK companies were honed back by to the tune of £10 billion in 2009, according to recent research.

Total dividends paid out by British listed companies amounted to £56.9 billion last year, down 15 per cent on 2008. The figures would have been considerably worse for investors if it not had been for the contribution of just five leading UK companies, with almost fifty percent of all dividends paid out coming from them. The e British business heroes were by BP, Shell, HSBC, Vodafone and GlaxoSmithKline. A sign of the shifting sands in the UK trading picture is that as recently as 2007, these companies accounted for 35 percent of the total dividend payout.

All the UK banks combined cut their dividends by half, adding up to around £6 billion less in dividends than in 2008. Performing particularly poorly was the high-street sector whose dividend payouts fell by 62 per cent.

At the recent meeting of the Group of Seven finance ministers’ tacit agreement was reached to draw up as set of common rules designed to force banks to pay for possible failures similar to the current one, which led to taxpayers being forced to take on trillions of dollars in liabilities.

The ministers said the world’s most advanced economies should adopt common rules as long as other major countries also agree. Apparently the G-7 is moving closer to an agreement on a bank insurance levy, one of a range of options proposed by the U.K. in November.

Already Sweden has taken the first step forward by creating a fund financed by their banks to help safeguard its financial system. In terms of the agreement, Swedish banks are required to make annual payments to the fund. The Swedish government injected 15 billion kronor (£1.2 billion) into the fund when it was set up, as well adding funds that had previously held in Sweden’s deposit guarantee fund.

According to government estimates, interest from the funds deposited by banks and on the money in the fund means it will swell to 150 billion kronor, or 2.5 percent of Sweden’s gross domestic product, by 2023.

U.K. stocks rose for first time in four days, led by a rebound in mining companies. The FTSE 100 Index increased 50.2 points to 5,111.84 at close of business in London.

The pound dropped to its lowest level in more than eight months against the dollar as growing concerns over the UK’s fiscal situation began to weigh on the currency. Sterling closed at 1.5701 and at 1.1388 against the Euro. The Euro has lost a lot of its attractions recently and was down to an eight-month low of 1.3583 against the dollar.

On Wall Street things were looking up. The Dow Jones Industrial Average finished up 74 points at 10058.64. The NASDAQ gained 15 points to close on 2,150.87.

Honda has added close to half a million cars to its existing global safety recall list. The problem this time is over airbag inflation problems mostly affecting cars sold in North America, with others Japan, Mexico, Taiwan and Australia due for recall. There was also further bad news for e Japanese carmakers Toyota after they were forced to recalled nearly half a million hybrid cars over faulty brakes, and millions of other models will need to be brought back to dealerships worldwide, suffering from accelerator and floor mat problems.

General Motors’ (GM) Opel unit has announced their plans to will invest 11 billion Euros (£9.7 billion) in introducing new product ranges over the next five years. Opel’s investment plan to breaking even within two years, a move that will entail cutting 8,300 jobs across Europe as well as the closure of at least one company plant in Antwerp, Belgium. Opel are trying to persuade

European governments to provide them with billions of Euros in loans to help the company’s plan to return to profitability.

India has announced that its economy is looking at growth levels by 7.2% in the year to the end of March. Government stimulus measures helped to maintain strong growth during the global downturn, but attention is now turning towards cooling rising prices, raising the chance that state support could soon be withdrawn. Many financial analysts also expect the government to raise interest rates earlier than expected. Strong growth in manufacturing in India is helping to compensate for falling agricultural output.

Oil prices rose and base metals moved higher as commodity markets managed a partial recovery after a sharp sell-off in the previous week US crude oil prices traded above the $71 a barrel.

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Interest rate hike expected as inflation sores.

January 20th, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Energy Prices, Exchage Rate, Recession, Retail, UK Banks, UK employment, World Banks

financial news

With an earlier than expected rise in inflation, which soared to 2.9% in December, interest rates could be rising sooner than expected in 2010.

The reading for the consumer prices index (CPI) came in well above the expected 2.4% figure making for the largest ever rise in inflation over a single month, according to figures issued by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) Reasons given were reduced s discounting from retailers in the run-up to Christmas and fuel prices remaining unchanged compared with sharp falls a year earlier.

The Bank of England had already expressed fears that inflation would rise this year, but this high figure will curtail the bank’s efforts to store up inflationary pressures while kick-starting the economy out of recession.

The Bank’s target for CPI inflation for 2010 is 2% and the jump to 2.9% puts its policymakers in a delicate position. While higher than expected inflation would force them to raise rates before the economy has properly recovered.

The head of the International Monetary Fund head has again warned that the global economy could yet experience another downturn, known in financial circles as a double dip recession.

Managing Director Dominique Strauss-Kahn said countries should rush to exit from stimulus packages that have bolstered growth through huge amounts of government spending and that it is too early for policy makers to withdraw stimulus that’s driving the global recovery.

“The global economy is recovering, even if its recovery is fragile,” Strauss-Kahn said in a recent speech. "While a plan to withdraw emergency measures “should be designed today” it should not yet be “implemented” because world economies are still dependent on government support and private demand remains weak" Strauss-Kahn has previously voiced his opinion that the world’s economic recovery is occurring “sooner and stronger” than anticipated. More than $2 trillion in government spending around the world has spurred growth, pulling economies out of a recession spurred by a meltdown in the U.S. housing market. Separately, Germany and France raised their growth forecasts for the year. Strauss-Kahn went on to add that China and Asian economies are leading the recovery.

British Airways cabin crew is to vote again on possible strike action, according to a recent announcement from the Unite union.

A spokesman for Unite predicted that a fresh ballot of its members would be held in the near future. The move came after recent talks with BA failed to find a resolution to a long-running dispute. BA announced in reply that they were "saddened but not surprised" by the decision, whilst promising to make every effort to allow talks to continue. If talks fail, a strike could begin as early as March if cabin crew vote in favour of industrial action.

BA had already planned a 12-day strike for Christmas last year which was blocked by a court injunction.

The long protracted takeover of Cadbury by US food company Kraft now appears to be going forward after the Cadbury board approved a new increased bid. Cadburys will now advise their shareholders to accept a new offer of 840 pence a share – valuing the company at £11.5 billion ($18.9 billion). Shareholders will also receive a dividend of 10 pence a share.

The additional cash represents a 90 per cent premium to the Cadbury share price before the deal was announced and a 50 per cent premium to Cadbury’s undisturbed share price of 568 pence before Kraft approached Cadbury in late August

Spokespersons from both Cadbury and Kraft jointly announced that details of the agreement were still being finalising and would make a statement later.

Many city pundits were surprised that the deal eventually went through so smoothly after months of animosity between the two companies.

It is expected that Kraft’s final offer consisting of 500 pence in cash, with the rest made of Kraft shares made the deal much sweeter for Cadbury shareholders. To finance the takeover Kraft will require borrowing around £7 billion ($11.5 billion)

Shares in Cadbury topped the FTSE 100 on Tuesday.

Sterling was among the few currencies to rise against the dollar and the Euro on Tuesday after UK inflation jumped in December, increasing the possibility of monetary tightening and increases in interest rates being brought forward. The pound closed at 1.636 against the dollar, with the Euro being traded at 1.1459

The FTSE 100 index rose 41.6 points to 5,496.9, while the FTSE 250 index added 33.4 points to 9,571.6.

In the US, Citigroup announced losses of $7.6 billion for the last quarter of 2009, large due to their efforts to repay US government bail-out funds, and coming after three consecutive profitable quarters. Citigroup’s ’s loss was in line with Wall Street analysts’ expectations and would amounted to a loss of $1.4 billion, had it not been for its repayment of the $20 billion in funds it received from the troubled asset relief programme. For the same period of a year ago, Citigroup reported a loss of $17.3 billion. In 2009 as a whole, Citigroup made a loss of $1.6 billion on $80.3 billion turnover.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose sharply on early trading after being closed on Monday for Martin Luther King Day. The index rose 115 points to close on 10,725.43. The NASDAQ Composite was also on the up, 32 points to 2320.4

Computer giant IBM has announced that after cost-cutting work helped to increase its earnings by 9% in the last three months of 2009.

They have raised their profit target for 2010. IBM made a net profit of $4.8 billion (£2.9 billion) for the fourth quarter, up from $4.4 billion from the same period in 2008, with turnover for the quarter increased by 1% to $27.2 billion

Crude prices fell to a three week low on Tuesday, with prices averaging around $77.00 a barrel. Traders pointed out the implications in the oil market of the bankruptcy of Japan Airlines, as the Tokyo-based carrier made extensive use of oil derivatives to hedge its cost and the bankruptcy is likely to force investment banks to unwind the hedges.

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UK retailing and financial sectors optimistic about 2010.

January 13th, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Exchage Rate, Retail, Stocks and shares, UK Banks, UK employment

financial news

According to a recent survey conducted by the Confederation for British Industry (CBI), around a third of the UK financial services companies were said to be more optimistic about their situation and that of the sector in general. This makes for the third consecutive quarter that confidence has risen in the financial services industry, making for a 100% increase since the middle of 2009. The increased optimism comes despite slightly weaker volumes being recorded than forecast in the fourth quarter, coupled with some fears that business will contract in the first quarter of this year.

There were smiling faces all around as retailer House of Fraser delivered a trading update on Monday showing a new record for festive sales. Signs that the UK consumer was shrugging off the recession came as the privately-owned department store chain showed sales rising by 7.1 percent in the eight weeks to Jan. 2nd as well as Boxing Day sales figures that were up climbed 27 percent on 2008.

Less happy were the management team at, Tesco, who according to a global study has dropped to fourth place in a league table of the world’s biggest retailers. Tesco dropped one place pushed down by the German retail group, Metro. Sales figures for Tesco for the six weeks to January 9 is expected to report like-for-like sales growth of about three percent for the period.

Some good news for those UK householders whose boilers are rated at G level or lower. In addition to the two combined subsidies from the UK government and British Gas that is liable to cover around a third of the estimated cost of buying and installing a new boiler, British Gas has just added a further £452 in cost savings for those who will be replacing their boiler under the scheme which will come in two forms.

  • A set of comprehensive radiator controls for the home or office valued at £248.
  • Homecare 200 repairs cover for the boiler costing £204.

Anyone who is liable to receive these subsidies, which in general should include anyone who has a boiler more than 15 years old may be eligible to receive these grants and subsidies, contact British Gas on 0845 074 5991 for a free consolation or click http://www.britishgas.co.uk/yourboiler

Spanish banking group Santander has announced the launch of a marketing campaign aimed at bringing its UK brands under one name. Santander will invest around £30 million pounds refurbishing the 1,000 branches across the UK coming under their label as well as printing new product literature for the Abbey, Bradford & Bingley and Alliance & Leicester banks. To add some glamour, formula one racing driver Lewis Hamilton has been chosen to publicise the company’s new image at a Santander branch to be opened in central London.

Manchester United FC have announced their plans to mount a bond issue intended to raise £500 million in order to refinance the club’s mounting debts.

The announcement came as the club announced pre-tax profits of £48.2 million for the year to 30 June 2009, compared with a loss of £21.4 million last year. The profit was swollen by the £80 million fee received by the club from Real Madrid who purchased the services of Cristiano Ronaldo during the close season. According to information issued by the club’s holding company Red Football Ltd, group turnover rose to £278.5 million from £256.2 million in 2008. Although Red Football disclosed no total debt figure was announced, estimates have it at around £700 million.

British Land has unveiled plans to manage a £300 million pound buy-to-let fund being launched by Charles Russell, the prominent UK law firm. The fund has been established to acquire prime residential real estate in London. British Land will also take a small stake in the fund as the property group rapidly expands its residential business, marking British Land’s first residential investments since selling the majority of its portfolio in 2006.

Revenue at IT services group Computacenter remained weak for 2009, largely due to a shortage of large infrastructure projects. With this factor taken this factor into account, the company instituted a substantial cost-cutting programme which look likely to see them beat profit forecasts for 2009, which could be close to £50 million pounds. On the news shares in Computacenter rose 17.7 pence to 309 pence on Tuesday.

The pound continued its recovery above the dollar in mid week trading, while moving up slightly against the Euro.

  • Dollar 1.6207
  • Euro 1.118

On Tuesday the FTSE 100 Index fell 0.7 percent, to 5,498.71.

Meanwhile it has been announced that during one of the biggest turn-downs in US financial history the US Federal Reserve announce that they made a profit of $52.1 billion (£32.2 billion) in 2009, marking a rise of 47% over the previous year, allowing them to pay a record $46.1 billion to the US Treasury last year.

The $46.1 billion was the largest amount ever paid by the central bank since it was creation in 1914, and was largely thanks to the Fed’s attempts to support the financial system throughout the ongoing financial crisis.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed Tuesday up slightly, nine points to 10,627. The NASDAQ dropped to close on 2,282.

The recently formed US Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission (FCIC) is to hold their first public hearing on Wednesday.

The 10-member panel was established by Congress to examine the causes of the 2008 US financial crisis. The committee will examine the causes of the crisis, and are scheduled to hear testimony on the current state of the crisis from a cross section of private and public sector leaders.

Witnesses will include top executives from Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan Chase, Morgan Stanley and Bank of America.

Findings and the report of the panel are due to be presented to Congress and President Barack Obama by 15 December.

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Darling confesses that there may be budget cuts on the way.

January 11th, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Employment, Exchage Rate, Recession, Stocks and shares, UK Banks, UK employment

financial news

In an interview held over the weekend, chancellor of the Exchequer Alistair Darling predicted that should the Labour Party be re-elected in this year’s anticipated elections they will be prepared to tightly rein in spending and curb Government borrowing. The treasury chief warned that the UK has little option but reduce the massive budget deficit entailing making the toughest public spending cuts seen in 20 years.

Darling’s comments signaled a change in direction or a possible split in Labour’s election strategy as until recently Gordon Brown’s has pinned the bulk of his preliminary electoral campaign and its possible success on the need to support economic recovery, instead of reducing the country’s current £178-billion-pound deficit. The International Monetary Fund has forecast that the UK’s GDP deficit will peak this year at 13.2 percent.

To the chagrin of many, city bankers look likely to suffer minimal impact from the bonus super tax imposed on them by the government last month.

Most banks who were available for comment hinted they are preparing to absorb if not all at least part of the cost of 50 per cent tax by inflating their bonus pools, and are prepared to run the risk of irritating the government and even their own shareholders in order to keep their staff happy. The banks are unofficially conceding that dividends are likely to be hit by their capitulation, and they are already under pressure as regulators have pressurized banks to increase their capital holdings, which will have a consequent effect on their profit margins.

Meanwhile, the Association of British Insurers (ABI) has written a letter to the remuneration committee chairmen of the UK’s top 350 companies warning boards against paying big bonuses and keeping directors safe from tax increases. ABI are concerned that investors will lose out amid fears that banks will absorb the supertax on bonuses at the expense of dividends. Last year was marked by a number of cases of shareholders rebelling against companies’ plans.

With Christmas trading a fading memory, it has been reported that city analysts are taking a close look at Tesco and attempting to determine how much the extra £100 million pounds’ worth of loyalty vouchers given to customers affected their Christmas trading. Fears are that by Tesco’s inflating their Clubcard loyalty scheme they could have "artificially" inflated their UK sales figures for the period, with estimates that the extra vouchers could have added around 1.5% the supermarket chain’s UK turnover for the Christmas , which is due to be released on Tuesday.

The Crown Estate, owner of the UK’s coastal seabeds, have granted development rights to energy companies that will herald the largest wind energy project ever seen in the world.

The announcement has the potential to see an additional 32 GigaWatts (GW) of clean electricity feeding into the UK grid, on top of 8 GW from previous rounds. 32 GW will mean enough offshore wind energy to supply nearly all the homes in the UK, with projection that investment in UK offshore wind overall could be worth £75 billion and support up to 70,000 jobs by the year 2020.

A total of nine development zones, with a capacity of just over 25 GW, have been allocated to Ten European Companies following a competitive tender.

Plans are currently under approval by the UK Government to construct what will be the fastest railway in Europe. The multi billion pound project would see trains travelling from London to the West Midlands at 250 mph from a new station to be constructed in the capital.

Construction is scheduled to begin in 2017, and the first trains should toll out of London 2025, carrying more than a thousand passengers at a time. The project is expected to cost as much as £60 billion.

Taking a short term view, the UK is currently investigating a variety of options on how to deal with increasing stocks of swine flu vaccines, with the British public showing a lack of interest in taking advantage of the free injection. The department of health is looking at either renegotiating existing contracts with the drug companies, such as GlaxoSmithKline and Baxter International to reduce the consignments. Other last attractive options are to sell the vaccines on to other countries or simply give them away. France and Germany also intend to cancel millions of doses of the H1N1 vaccines because of oversupply.

All of the five UK mobile networks are now reported to be in talks with Google over plans to market their new Nexus One mobile phone. Vodafone are the first operator to officially announce that had sealed a deal to offer the device, while no official launch date has been set as yet. The remaining four UK mobile phone operators. While it is expected that the big four will be providing support and service for the Nexus One, Google will be marketing their new baby exclusively online.

A little reminder that the internet doesn’t yet rule all of the World came with the news that UK greeting cards company Clinton have reported a rise in sales of 3.5 percent on last year for the weeks approaching Christmas, with like-for-like sales in the 22 weeks to Jan. 2 rising. However this upturn in sales appeared to be a drop in the ocean as the company continues to experience difficult trading conditions and has closed 12 of their stores in the last six months.

The pound stuttered slightly above the dollar in pre-weekend trading, while sliding backwards against the Euro.

  • Dollar 1.6025
  • Euro 1.1116

As brokers set off home for the weekend in their snow ploughs and sleds, the FTSE 100 edged just 7.52 points higher to 5,534.24. For the week the index was up 2.4 per cent, making for the third straight weekly gain.

In the US official figures have shown the unemployment rate holding steady at 10% despite the fact that employers unexpectedly cut 85,000 jobs in December. The US Labor Department had initially estimated that 11,000 jobs were cut in November, but now says that the economy had in fact added 4,000 jobs.

Since the recession began in 2007, 7.2 million jobs have been lost in the US, with 4.2 million of them in 2009 alone.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed for the weekend still on the up, eleven points to 10,618 while the NASDAQ also jumped 17 points to close on 2,3170.71.

General Motors (GM) reluctantly advised that they have begun "winding down" process for Saab, whilst continuing efforts to find a buyer for their Swedish car-making subsidiary.

GM intends to organize an "orderly" winding down at Saab, which they expects to take several months. The US group also confirmed that they are continuing to evaluate the several proposals they had received to acquire Saab, including the one from Formula One boss Bernie Ecclestone.

With the news that the exports had risen by 17.7% in December, China now claims to have overtaken Germany to become the world’s largest exporter.

December’s remarkable rise ends a 13-month decline in trade as a result of the global downturn.

Total Chinese exports for 2009 were £7.5 trillion, which marked a downturn in foreign of 13.9%, as the global economic downturn led to a fall in demand.

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Freezing Britain has to weigh up the costs.

January 8th, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Energy Prices, Exchage Rate, Recession, Stocks and shares, UK Banks

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While the UK and with it almost all of Western Europe and the West Coast of the US are caught in the grip of the longest running and most severe cold spell that it has seen for close to thirty years without a break in the foreseeable future, many analyst are now scratching their heads and asking themselves "what will this do to the price of oil?"

Since the weather began to turn incredibly difficult about a week ago the price of oil has risen steadily from the around $78 to $82 within the space of one week, the highest price it has been all of 2009, and to those of you who may have forgotten, sat on a low of $32 a barrel towards the end of December 2008. With the news that the major economies, and especially China, were starting to build up stockpiles of oil, hopes were that prices would begin to fall and settle around the ideal figure of between $68 to $72 a barrel.

Analysts fear that if the span weather persists, and predictions are that at least in the UK it could continue to the end of January, and the increase in demand could push the price up oil even further, as stocks diminish. Meanwhile leading bodies in UK industry bodies have asked head- teachers to minimize snow-linked school closures to reduce levels of absence from the workplace. Although 61 percent of 200 companies surveyed by the British Chambers of Commerce said less than one in 10 employees was absent, the Federation of Small Businesses warned that childcare-related absences following school closures would become a serious problem. The cold snap looks likely to cost the economy close to £700 million pounds a day, meaning total financial damage of £14.5 billion pounds if, as expected. The bad weather lasts a further three weeks.

As expected UK interest rates will remain unchanged at 0.5%, meaning that the cost of borrowing has remained at a record low since March 2009. Economist are not expecting to see a rates increase s in the near term, despite expectations that the UK will finally have exited recession in the last quarter of 2009.

Formula 1 boss, Bernie Ecclestone is looking to buy a Saab, not the car but the company, and intends to do so in partnership with the Luxembourg-based private investment company, Genii Capital, which recently invested in Renault’s Formula 1 team.

Ecclestone’s dramatic announcement came shortly after the deadline for expressions of interest in the company closed without any public bids.

As well as Ecclestone’s offer, a second bid s also emerged, from the Dutch sports car maker, Spyker Cars.

U.S. food giant Kraft has received a ticking off from the principal shareholder Warren Buffett who has also thrown a spanner in the works of their proposed transaction. The Buffett-owned holding company Berkshire Hathaway who Hold 9.4% of Kraft’s stock announced that they will be voting against it is the proposal to issue up to 370 million shares to facilitate the Cadbury deal.

A spokesman for Kraft reacted to Buffet’s statement by saying that "Mr. Buffett is our largest investor and one of the most respected investors in the world. We take his opinion very seriously. We agree Kraft shares are deeply undervalued. We would not do anything to hurt shareholder value and we intend to remain disciplined in this process." Shares fell 7 pence, or 0.9 percent, to 772 pence on trading.

In their annual Christmas trading statement, Majestic Wine announced a rise in sales of 11.7 percent between Nov. 3 and Jan. 4 in the UK, with champagne sales regaining their seasonal appeal over Christmas. While champagne sales grew 11 percent, fine wine sales climbed 30 percent and online trading rose by 20 percent.

Family-owned brewer Fuller Smith & Turner also managed to increase its profits, sales and dividend in the six months to September, largely bucking the trend prevalent in the brewery sector. With members of the controlling families owning more than half of the company equity and 60 percent of the voting rights, executive chairman Michael Turner pronounced the effect that company’s long-term, risk-averse strategy was paying dividends.

The FTSE 100 brought in the New Year and new decade by closing above 5,500 for the first time since the start of September 2008 – before the Lehman Brothers collapse, coming after a 22% rise over the whole of 2009 and a 53% rally from the low last March. The FTSE 100 closed on Tuesday on 5522.5.

Britain’s currency weakened possibly due to U.K. Business Secretary Peter Mandelson hints that the pound’s devaluation aided the economy in the recession.

  • Dollar 1,5967
  • Euro 1.1126

The U.K.’s largest home builder by market value Persimmon Plc has announced that they completed the sale of 8,976 new homes in 2009 with a total value of around £1.4 billion pounds. On the news their shares gained 1.2 percent, to 469 pence. Wolseley Plc, the world’s largest supplier of heating and plumbing gear seemed to be moving in a positive direction, with their shares added 4.7 percent, to 1,361 pence.

The Vodafone Group PLC expects to be able to offer Google Inc.’s Nexus One smart phone to its U.K. customers in the next few weeks, with their rivals reported to be already in advanced talks with the Internet giant about the device.

Vodafone, the world’s biggest mobile operator, is also in early discussions with Google about supporting the phone in France, Germany and Spain, a Vodafone spokesman told Dow Jones Newswires Wednesday, and hopes to offer it across the rest of Europe through the course of 2010.

JD Sports Fashion Plc, the U.K.’s second- largest sportswear chain said sales at stores rose 6.6 percent in the five weeks up to the Ist of January .2010. On the news their shares jumped 6.2 percent, to 550 pence.

Marks & Spencer Group on Wednesday reported a small increase in third-quarter sales, despite not slashing prices in the run-up to Christmas, as customers snapped up cashmere sweaters and clothing for kids. But the company cautioned that trading will remain challenging this year.

Group sales at the iconic British retailer rose 2.6% in the three months to Dec. 26. In the U.K. same-store sales rose 0.8%, with general merchandise up 1.2% and food up 0.4%. Underlying sales returned to growth for the first time in two years.

Still, the results missed the consensus forecast for a 1.2% increase in same-store sales, partly because this year’s trading period excluded the first day of the company’s post-Christmas sales, when it typically sees a surge in revenue. Online sales increased 32% and international sales climbed 6%

Britain’s Home Delivery Network said it would buy DHL’s UK parcel delivery operations, DHL Domestic, from Deutsche Post DHL (DPWGn.DE), growing its market share in a sector profiting from a boom in online shopping.

With many of the UK s leading retailers, among them John Lewis and Next reporting significant online growth, companies such as Home Delivery Network have felt the impact.

The parcel delivery company, headquartered in Merseyside, northwest England, said the combined businesses would have annual revenues of more than £600 million pounds, delivering over 180 million parcels a year, with a combined market share of 17 percent.

Britain’s currency recovered slightly over the last two days

  • Dollar 1,5992
  • Euro 1.1198

The FTSE100 finished trading on Thursday in a fairly static position at 5526.72 barely moving on the week’s trading.

On Wall Street, the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed on Thursday up a further 24 points to 10,607 while the NASDAQ also dropped 8 points to 2,300.71.

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Iceland takes cold feet on repaying the three billion.

January 7th, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Employment, Exchage Rate, Recession, Retail, Stocks and shares, UK Banks, UK employment, World Banks

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Iceland’s president has refused to sign a controversial bill to repay £3.1 billion previously promised to the UK and the Netherlands. The news came after Iceland’s President Olafur Ragnar Grimsson announced a change of a heart following public protest and instead the country will now hold a referendum on the bill, which was designed to compensate governments forced to bail out their savers with Icesave accounts following Iceland’s banking crisis.

Legislation to repay the money was approved by Iceland’s parliament in December, but the approval of the president is also required before it can be passed into law.

Things must be getting strained again between Alistair Darling and Gordon Brown who were reported to have contradicted each other once again and in public. The contradiction was on that hot potato over how to handle public spending. Darling was reported to have argued that revenue from stronger than expected growth should be used to cut borrowing in a bid to allay the concerns of bond market investors, while Brown was said to be of the view that strong recovery may help to sustain spending, warding off fears of significant cuts to public services. Government officials hastened to deny a split between Brown and the chancellor. But they would, wouldn’t they.

Kraft have announced that they expect to increase the cash proportion in their offer to Cadbury in an attempt to make their bid more attractive to shareholders. The cash will come from the sale of its North American pizza business, strangely enough bought by erstwhile takeover bid competitors, Nestle who paid over £2 billion for a slice (of the company) .Meanwhile and contrary to recent speculation, Nestle have announced that they do not intend to table a takeover bid for Cadbury,. The company having been linked to a possible offer following Kraft Food’s hostile bid for Cadbury that was announced in December.

As part of their new strategic review, the English Premier League is looking to increase its international reach by inviting companies to become an official technology partner, aimed at tapping global opportunities more successfully. With current sponsorship making up just five per cent of the Premier League’s one billion pounds annual turnover, from sponsors that including Nike, Lucozade, Wrigley, and EA Sports, Topps Merlin and Sporting iD and title sponsors Barclays Bank.

One of the companies brave enough to raise their prices to match the return of VAT to its previous 17.5 per cent rate are Apple, who have increased the prices of many products on the Apple Store, including Macs. On 1 Jan 2010 the VAT level in the UK returned to 17.5 per cent, up from the reduced rate of 15 per cent (VAT is the UK term for sales tax). The UK government temporarily reduced the rate of VAT during 2009 to add some life into the UK economy, and it was thought that many of the UK’s leading retailers would continue to subsidise the increase, at least for January.

However Apple’s move seems likely to prompt some discussion surrounding the pricing of Apple products in general, which has steadily increased in the UK over the last two years.

Encouraging evidence of better retail conditions with record sales over the Christmas and New Year period were provided by the John Lewis employee-owned department store and chain. The company reported sales strongly ahead of the last two years that in the five weeks to January 2. John Lewis’s performance offers hope to retailers as they begin to release figures on their trading in the crucial festive period on Tuesday. John Lewis said total sales rose 15.8 per cent in the five weeks to January 2, compared with the same period a year earlier, while sales based on stores open at least a year were up 12.7 per cent.

On the stock exchange, shares in partly-nationalised Royal Bank of Scotland rose 9.9%, helped by analyst’s predictions that the bank is liable to "outperform" in 2010.

The FTSE 100 brought in the New Year and new decade by closing above 5,500 for the first time since the start of September 2008 – before the Lehman Brothers collapse, coming after a 22% rise over the whole of 2009 and a 53% rally from the low last March. The FTSE 100 closed on Tuesday on 5522.5.

Britain’s currency weakened possibly due to U.K. Business Secretary Peter Mandelson hints that the pound’s devaluation aided the economy in the recession.

  • Dollar 1,5967
  • Euro 1.1126

The chairman of the US Federal Reserve Ben Bernanke has blamed poor financial regulation for the financial crisis and defended the record of America’s central bank, whilst calling for urgent improvements to financial oversight to prevent a repeat of an economic storm that he said could ultimately prove to be "the worst in history".

In a recent speech, Mr Bernanke argued that low interest rates in the first five years of the new millennium were "appropriate" for the time and had not caused the "bubble" in US house prices. His reaction came after the Fed has recently come under criticism by certain US economists who argue that it kept rates too low for too long, encouraging an artificial property boom. The subsequent crash led to a surge in repossessions, leaving lenders with huge losses, causing a financial contagion that spread around the world.

On Wall Street, the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed on Tuesday up 144 points to 10,572, while the NASDAQ also rose 39 points to 2,308.71.

According to expert analysts, the US public pension system faces a higher-than-expected shortfall of more than $2,000 billion that will increase pressure on many states’ strained finances and crimp economic growth. Recent estimates of aggregate funding requirement of the US pension system have ranged between $400 billion and $500 billion, however recent speculation has concluded that public funds would need to find more than $2,000 billion to meet future pension obligation

Commodities prices are set to rise further this year as the global economy expands faster, according to an International Monetary Fund forecast, following the biggest annual price increase for raw materials in nearly four decades in 2009

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U.K. property prices rise again in December

January 4th, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Employment, Energy Prices, Exchage Rate, Gold, Recession, Stocks and shares, The Markets, UK Banks, UK employment, World Banks

financial news

The last and most positive item of news that hit before the UK financial community went into New Year mode was that data released by the Nationwide Building Society indicated that U.K. house prices had raised again in December by 0.4%, taking the growth for the year to 5.9%. December’s rise was for the eighth consecutive month. To take some edge from the optimism, Nationwide pointed out that there remained high levels of uncertainty over the outlook for property prices in 2010.

Other good news came from the Bank of England, who pointed out that the FTSE market has recorded the third biggest rise since 1693, over the last nine months. Predictions are that of January carries on at roughly the same pace, the market will have enjoyed its largest sustained rise for 317 years. Someone should point out to the BOE that the FTSE had to fall more or less on its knees in order to make such a dramatic recovery. Not that anyone is not grateful!

The UK statisticians seemed to be competing against each other this festive season to see whose figure could look the most positive.

Just before Christmas, the Office for National Statistics reported that unemployment had fallen 6,300 in a single month, hastening to add some icing to the Christmas Cake by pointing out that in no postwar recession has unemployment ever fallen so quickly. To be positive, unemployment in the UK has been less severe than most analysts expected. Expectations are that jobless levels will certainly carry on rising in 2010, but will eventually level out at around 1.25 million.

According to the Bank of England, quarterly credit conditions saw British banks reported a rise in the availability of secured credit to households, driven partly by an improved economic outlook. Unsecured credit availability to households continued to decline, but banks expected it to stabilize in the coming quarter.

Meanwhile cold Icelandic hearts have appeared to thaw just a little, with the news that Iceland’s parliament has approved plans to repay £3.4 billion to savers in the UK. The repatriations will go to the British as well as the Dutch governments, both of whom partially compensated savers when the Icesave online bank failed in 2008, with more than 320,000 savers losing their savings when the bank collapsed. Not that there weren’t ulterior motives behind the Icelanders generosity. In fact a special bill on the measure, was only narrowly approved against strong opposition, and was seen as crucial to Iceland’s bid rebuild its economy and gain a key to eventually being accepted as members of the EU.

A recent survey of UK adults has come up with the interesting discovery that that around two-thirds had made it a point of keeping track of their financial situation much more than they did two years ago, and were increasingly concerned about whether their bank was safe. Despite that, the survey did discover that far fewer consumers were less willing to make an effort to protect themselves, with only around half making an effort to reduce their debt levels and even less attempting to save than they were at the start of the recession.

More slightly bitter sweet news announced before the end of the year was that the number of repossessed homes that were sold by auction in the UK has fallen by more than half during the past 12 months. The number of repossessed homes sold at auction during 2009 totaled 3,998, compared with 8,222 sold during 2008, with the number of repossessed homes sold at auction in the last quarter falling even more dramatically to just 941 homes compared to 2,941 during the same period in 2008.

Sterling jumped to a 10-day high against the dollar on Thursday as year-end position adjustments led to a broad sell-off in the U.S. currency, with thin trading sparking exaggerated price movements.

The pound also extended gains against the euro as month- and year-end flows as well as technical factors supported the currency, helping lift rise to a 10-day high.

  • Dollar 1617
  • Euro 1.1285

The benchmark U.K. FTSE 100 rose 0.3% to 5,412.88 on Thursday, bringing its year-to-date gains to 22.1%, its highest gain since a 24.7% return in 1997. Despite the good news, overall the noughties were not great for the.

FTSE that declined 21.9% for the decade, worse than the Dow Jones Industrial Average that fell just 8% and the 14% retreat for the German DAX.

Wall Street ended the day and the decade in the red after encouraging jobs data on Thursday renewed concerns over interest rate hikes.

The number of Americans filing fresh claims for unemployment benefits last week dropped to the lowest level in about 17 months. Analysts had been expecting initial jobless claims to show a modest increase.

A late sell-off left stocks near their lows of the day, pushing the Dow Jones Industrial Average down 1.1 per cent to 10,428.05 and the NASDAQ to 2,269.15.

Commodity markets ended 2009 on a high with US crude oil touching the $80 a barrel mark in the final trading session, while white sugar extended its record-breaking run and copper, lead and zinc all enjoying price gains of more than 100 per cent over the year.

Oil prices maintained their upward momentum over the Christmas period amid ongoing tensions in Iran between opposition supporters and the government and by cold winter weather in the US, which has boosted demand for heating oil.

Gold ended 2009 just below the $1,100 mark at $1,096.35 a troy ounce, up 24.8 per cent over the year.

Gold hit a record $1,226.10 an ounce in early December and the bull market for bullion has now lasted for nine years.

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The Noughties prove to be a no-no for economic growth

December 30th, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Employment, Energy Prices, Exchage Rate, Recession, Retail, Stocks and shares, UK Banks, UK Small Business, UK employment

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The UK in the first decade of the new century recorded the lowest economic growth of the postwar period and the worst returns for stock market investors since the 1930s. Information provided by the Office of National Statistics points out that gross domestic product, on average, rose by only 1.7 per cent annually in real terms throughout the so-called noughties, making them Britain’s weakest period of economic expansion of any since the war years. The manufacturing sector was particularly hard hit with output actually contracting over the decade by 1.2 per cent annually.

Meanwhile, the British stock market suffered its weakest performance of any decade since the Great Depression, with prices on the FTSE All Share Index recording negative returns, averaging minus 1.8 per cent per year. The particularly sharp contraction in the real economy as a result of the financial crisis of the past 18 months continues to fuel pessimistic assessments of the UK’s prospects for the new decade.

In his New Year message, that well know optimist Prime Minister Gordon Brown is expected to give an upbeat assessment of Britain’s economic prospects for the forthcoming 12 months. Under pressure amid Labour Party concerns that they are destined to lose the next election, Brown is expected to take a gamble on a positive prediction that UK unemployment will have decreased by the end of 2010, with more smaller businesses starting up during the period, His gamble is calculated by details of latest forecast from the Chartered Institute of Personnel and Development (CIPD) stating that UK unemployment will peak at 2.8 million in 2010, and would continue to rise for the first six months of the new year, despite the recovery in the UK economy. .

Earlier this year, the CIPD had said it expected unemployment to peak at 3.2 million as a result of the recession. The total number of UK unemployed in currently stands at 2.49 million, 7.9% of the population, with around a quarter of these job losses happening in 2009.

UK homeowners pumped almost £5 billion into their home equities during the third quarter of 2009, according to recent figures issued by the Bank of England. Analysts pointed out that the trend of homeowners repaying mortgage debt would continue to restrain consumer spending, as they took advantage of record low interest rates to reduce mortgage debts. This development is in healthy contrast to much of the previous decade when homeowners had continuously drawn on equity from their homes to fund durable purchases.

Pressure is being applied to the UK government to make some changes to the Sunday trading laws in time for Christmas next year. Boxing Day falls on a Sunday in 2010, and shopping centres are lobbying to relax the law that restricts outlets of more than 3,000 square foot to just six hours of trading during this peak trading day. According to surveys, the number of shoppers soared by 17.9 percent last Sunday against a year ago, making it the highest increase in UK consumer traffic on record for a December 27.

Waitrose, the John Lewis-owned supermarket, reported an increase of 13.5 percent for the week before Christmas compared to the same period last year, making it their most successful Christmas on record. Total sales jumped 20.5 percent to reach £134.6 million s in the week to December 26, compared with £111.7 million for the same period in 2008.

Sterling remained below the $1.60 level on early week trading, even falling a little, whilst while remaining static against the Euro

  • Dollar 1.5924
  • Euro 1.1089

London stocks pushed higher on Tuesday, the first day back from the Christmas break, following the lead set in global equity markets in the previous session.

With US stocks failing to add much momentum, London’s FTSE 100 stayed at the same level for much of the session, adding 35 points or 0.7 per cent by the close to 5,437.61, extending its winning run to five days.

This was the index’s highest level in 15 months and took it above the point at which it stood on September 12, 2008, when Lehman Brothers collapsed.

Shares in US airlines fell on Monday following the alleged bomb attack on a US plane bound for Detroit, fueled by fears that renewed security concerns could further depress demand for air travel. Airport security measures have been tightened following the security incident on Christmas Day.

On Wall Street, the Dow Jones Industrial Average returned from the Christmas break in buoyant mood, climbing 36 points to close on 10,521.1 while the NASDAQ Composite jumped just three points to 2,288.46. Retailers had initially lifted the market after data from the International Council of Shopping Centers and Goldman Sachs showed like-for-like sales across the sector were up 2.3 per cent last week from the same period a year ago

US house prices rose in October for the fifth month in a row, according to a leading index.

Prices were 0.4% higher than they were in September on a seasonally-adjusted basis, according to a recently published index.

Confidence among US consumers has shown a larger-than-expected rise; with improved optimism over the jobs market saw consumer confidence hit a three-month high in December

Oil prices have climbed to more than $79 a barrel, reaching the highest levels for five weeks. During Monday’s trading in London, US crude touched $79.12 a barrel before falling back later to $78.77.

Heating oil futures led the gains, while London Brent crude rose by more than a dollar to $77.32 a barrel.

Prices rose following forecasts of colder weather in the United States, and the expectation of increased consumption and falling reserves.

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