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Osborne wakes up to difficult times ahead for UK economy

May 19th, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Global Credit Crisis, Money Management, Mortgages, Recession, Saving, UK Bank Accounts, UK Banks, UK Credit cards, World Banks

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In one of the classic understatements of the year so far, new finance minister George Osborne has just announced his findings that the British economy is in a dire state and there will be difficult times ahead. Osborne’s revelation came as the government sat down to take action on tackling the record budget deficit. Osborne took up the role of Chancellor after the center-right Conservatives joined with the center-left Liberal Democrats to form the country’s first coalition government for more than half a century, as the Labour Government wound up 13 years rule.

Britain has barely limped out of the worst recession since World War Two, and the new government is under pressure to show their pre-election promises to reduce spending and raise taxes to cut a budget deficit running at more than 11 percent of GDP were not hollow. The coalition already pledged to significantly accelerate the reduction of the deficit in the next five years, cutting £6 billion pounds ($8.75 billion) from non-frontline public services during the current financial year. George Osborne is expected to unveil his emergency Budget on June 22 as the new coalition Government attempts to overcome the appalling state of the economy inherited from Labour.

Meanwhile on the home front, news from the Council of Mortgage Lenders (CML) is that mortgage borrowing by house buyers is on the increase, with the number of loans made to home buyers rising by 25% between February and March, to reach 45,000. First-time buyer borrowing rebounded faster than that by existing home owners, according to CML who also went on to warn that mortgage rationing might continue indefinitely unless the new government helped lenders raise finance.

The latest news on the small business front has shown decrease in UK business insolvencies last month. On a year to year basis, it was shown that

the total number of insolvencies fell by 15.1% in April compared with the same month last year, 2,274 in April 2009 down to 1,818 in April 2010.

Businesses that fell into the medium sized category were found to have suffered the most in April. Companies employing between fifty to hundred workers being the most vulnerable.

In a move that may indicate a thawing of hostilities between internet giant Google and the printed media – particularly Rupert Murdoch’s News Corp, Eric Schmidt, chief executive of Google, announced that Google were holding talks with Murdoch and other newspaper proprietors regarding running subscription services for their online sites. Murdoch has repeatedly criticized Google for undermining newspapers by allowing internet users too much access to their valuable news content. Late last year Murdoch went far as threatening to sue Google for including headlines from News International in its search results. Staring from June, the Times and Sunday Times are set to erect a pay wall limiting access to their online news sites to paying customers. The papers will also withdraw their articles from Google’s search engine

With annual results due to be issued before the weekend, mobile phone company Vodafone are expected to announce a 150 percent increase in profits, with analysts expecting pre-tax profits of around £10.4 billion for the year to the end of March. Vodafone’s profits for 2009 were just £4.1 billion, largely due to one of impairment of £5.9 billion pounds of impairment charges.

Reports are that the Spanish bank Santander are believed to have emerged as likely winners of the tender to take over the 318 Williams & Glyn-branded Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS) branches across England and Wales. Santander has apparently outbid Virgin, Spanish rival BBVA and Blackstone, with only National Australian Bank’s Clydesdale Bank arm still in the running. RBS is expected to make around £2 billion pounds from the successful completion of the sale.

Meanwhile credit card firm American Express has reportedly become the latest contender to enter into bidding for the payment processing arm of Royal Bank of Scotland. The partially state owned bank has been forced to sell of this division under European Commission rules governing state aid. The move by American Express, which has joined forces with private equity house Permira to table a bid in the £2.5 billion pound auction for RBS’s Global Merchant Services division, has been welcomed by RBS. Previously the bank had stated concerns over stand alone private equity buyers having sufficient experience to manage the business. With experience of processing payments of millions of customers in 130 countries, American Express could fit the bill and help RBS in their drive to expand in emerging markets,

Property development and investment giant, British Land, appears likely to take over the mantle as being the largest company in the field in the UK, leaving their bigger rival, Land Securities in their wake, when both companies announce full year results this week. British Land is expected to reveal that its net value of assets has increased by more than 20 percent over the past year to 490 pence a share, while Land Securities will announce that their shares have risen 16 percent increase in its net asset value over 690 pence a share.

Coming back down to earth with a thump will be British Airways who are widely expected to report losses of more than £600 million pounds when they reports their results on Friday. It is expected that results for the 12 months to the end of March will mark the airline’s worst ever financial performance, over a period in which it suffered from the effects of recession, strikes and bad weather. There are suggestions from senior staff that the company will not be able to survive any further blows. Analysts attending the shareholder’s conference will be keen to hear how chief executive Willie Walsh intends to explain the losses as well as the company’s ongoing dispute with cabin crews.

Pharmaceutical retailer and wholesaler Alliance Boots are expected to join the one billion pounds club on Monday. Alliance Boots, who returned to private ownership in 2007, are expected to announce a trading profit over the one billion pound by exceeding the 11.6 percent growth in 2009, when their profit was £953 million. By passing the one billion pound profit barrier Alliance Boots will become only the third retailer to do so in the history of UK retailing.

The euro has plummeted against the US dollar, falling below $1.22 for the first time since April 2006. The eurozone’s single currency fell more than 1.7% in afternoon trading in New York, to $1.216, before rallying.

The decline came after Germany announced plans to ban naked short-selling of shares from midnight local time on Tuesday. The single currency dropped by more than 2% against the yen on the news. Forex traders fear that the austerity measures being put in place in many eurozone countries will hit growth.

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Iceland strikes back.

April 16th, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Employment, Global Credit Crisis, Recession, Retail, Stocks and shares, UK Banks, UK Small Business, UK employment

financial news

Airports in the U.K. and northern Europe shut down as a cloud of volcanic ash swept south from an eruption in Iceland, disrupting travel for thousands of people booked on flights with British Airways Plc and other carriers. According to flight-control organization National Air Traffic Services, U.K. airspace will continue to be closed till the dust and ash disperses into the atmosphere. Norway and Sweden also shut airports and north-German terminals will also block departures and landings, as the ash threatens to stall jet engines and affect the quality of air in plane cabins. The problem comes after a volcano under Iceland’s Eyjafjallajökull glacier erupted for the second time in four weeks, with certain people claiming it might not have been an accident.

A recent report has shown that in March UK Consumer Confidence fell by the highest level since July 2008. The fall in confidence was largely attributed to the upcoming general election set to take place on May 6, and its uncertain outcome with the possibility of a hung parliament looming.

Job vacancies in London’s financial services industry more than doubled in the first quarter from under 5,000 to more than 11,000, when compared to the first quarter of 2009. Research has forecast the recovery would continue its momentum this year with a 26 percent rise on vacancies from the previous year. The report also showed rising salaries for City job candidates secure with a shortage of suitable candidates pushing salaries up. The picture outside of London is less optimistic where the financial jobs market was reported as being "sluggish"

The future of Arsenal Football Club remains unclear after U.S. billionaire Stan Kroenke, the club’s largest stakeholder, reportedly made a surprise move to acquire the St Louis Rams, an American football team. It was expected earlier this week that it emerged that after Arsenal’s fourth largest shareholder Lady Nina Bracewell-Smith had appointed Blackstone to find a buyer for her 15.9 percent share holding in Arsenal, Kroenke holds an almost 30% percent stake would make a move to take over the club. However, analysts have predicted that, at least for the time being, Kroenke is unlikely to make the bid as he will be short of the necessary capital to pursue both deals.

Telford Homes have announced that their performance for the year to April will be ahead of expectations. The Essex-focused residential property developer benefited from demand for housing close to the site of the London 2012 Olympics, with increased demand for homes in the Stratford area in particular. Sales have been boosted by foreign buyers with a company spokesman stating that the Games had "put Stratford on the map". The area around Stratford is undergoing multi-billion pound regeneration as well as the creation of a rail link to continental Europe.

Aim-listed technology company Bglobal, has won regulatory approval for its new Smart 1 product. The product will use mobile phone technology to convert traditional energy meters into "smart meters" without disrupting the power supply. A spokesman from Bglobal said the technology marked "a big step forward for smart meters", with the company also signing a marketing deal with mobile operator Orange. On the news, shares in Bglobal closed up two pence at 44.25 pence.

The three largest UK mobile phone operators — Vodafone, O2 and Orange have confirmed their appointments to market Apple’s iPad in Britain. However, they will have to put their marketing plans on hold as Apple has been forced to delay the worldwide launch due to unprecedented home demand. The three companies will offer competing monthly pricing plans for customers who want to surf the web using 3G mobile broadband services with both pre-pay and contract deals are expected to be offered.

Plans to create 3,500 jobs over the coming three years have been announced by the InterContinental Hotels Group. The jobs will be created as part of expansion plans, which will see the hotel company open 36 new hotels in the UK. Globally, expansion of the hotel company will see more than 100,000 jobs created during the same timeframe, as it opens 1,400 hotels. A spokesman for the InterContinental Hotels Group announced that a UK government commitment to support and promote the tourism industry would encourage InterContinental to create even more jobs.

After a performance that beat analysts’ full-year forecasts, high street retailer JD Sports Fashion have announced plans to increase their final dividend by 65 percent. A spokesman for JD Sports Fashion went on to announce that the company was considering further European acquisitions. Christmas trading helped to boost pre-tax profits 61 percent from £38.2 million to £61.4 million pounds, while turnover rose 15 percent to £769.8 million pounds. JD Sports increased its dividend from 8.9 pence to 14.7 pence. On the news, shares closed down 10.5 pence at 723 pence, coming after a rise of 13 percent in the last week.

The British Pound continued to rise higher after press reports that the Conservative Party have increased their chances of winning an outright majority in the upcoming general election, largely be promising to reduce the UK financial deficit.

The pound continues its slow recovery, closing at $1.5429, while rising e against the Euro at 1.1387.

The FTSE 100 continued its topsy turvey ride this week, rising 64 points to 5825.51

In the US, Ben Bernanke chairman of the US Federal Reserve has continued with his predictions that the US still faces "difficult choices" in cutting the country’s deficit, adding that weakness in the construction sector was still weighing on the economy. Bernanke’s cautious comments came despite data showing a 1.6% increase in March retail sales.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average continues its rise, up 112 points to 11.144.57 while the NASDAQ Composite also rose a massive 50 points to close on 2,515.69

Larger than expected first quarter profits of $3.3 billion (£2.1 billion), for the first quarter have been reported by Wall Street banker, JP Morgan Chase. The Wall Street firm’s net income was up 55% compared with a year ago, and unchanged on the previous quarter.

JP Morgan is the first major bank to report first-quarter results. On the news, their shares rose 3.4% to $47.40

China’s economy grew at an annualised rate of 11.9% in the first quarter of the year, which experts predict could lead to a revaluation of the yuan.

The growth figure was slightly higher than expected, while consumer price inflation was surprisingly low at 2.2%.

Internet giant Google has reported a 37% rise in first-quarter net profit, beating analysts’ expectations.

Profit for the three months to March came in at $1.96 billion (£1.26 billion) compared with the $1.42 billion for the same period last year

Turnover for the period climbed 23% to $6.78 billion, driven by an increase in online spending by advertisers. Google also announced that they taken on nearly 800 employees in the quarter, its biggest increase in staff for two years. Google’s total number of employees worldwide currently stands at 20,621.

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UK Business fears a hung parliament

April 14th, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Employment, Energy Prices, Exchage Rate, Global Credit Crisis, Recession, Retail, UK Bank Accounts, UK Banks, UK Small Business, UK employment, World Banks

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According to a recent survey, some of the largest companies in the UK are in fear of the financial effects of a hung parliament would have on the economy. The survey which takes in 141 chief financial officers of leading UK companies, among them 40 whose companies are quoted on the FTSE 100, fear that such as situation will have a negative effect on their own businesses. Current opinion polls suggest that, while the Conservatives hold a relatively strong lead, there is a strong chance that no party will win an overall majority in the rapidly approaching elections

Meanwhile a survey recently conducted shows that business confidence has reached its highest level in four years, with output back to levels not seen since before the recession. The report does go on to warn that a "significant increase" in investment in the private sector is needed in order to sustain the recovery, whilst stressing that business optimism could be "short-lived" without the investment.

Increases of y only 0.05 percent in the total value of UK exports have been reported on final quarter of 2009 compared to the same period of 2008 The figures came despite hopes that the weakness of sterling would be beneficial for the exports sector. According to government figures, the total number of companies exporting goods has fallen l by 3.4 percent to just less than fifty thousand. Both the UK government and the Bank of England have previously predicted that exports would help push the recovery.

The Rail, Maritime and Transport union have met with Network Rail in an attempt to avoid strikes planned by thousands of rail workers. The dispute revolves around Network Rail plans to cut 1,500 jobs and alter rosters to allow more work to be carried out at evenings and weekends. The RMT executive is expected to agree to a timetable for fresh ballots after four days of planned strike action were called off last week when Network Rail launched a successful legal challenge.

BAE Systems (BAE) has topped a list of the world’s 100 largest arms manufacturers, marking the first time that the list has been topped by a company outside the U.S. Figures from the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute show that BAE arms sales totaled $32.4 billion in 2008. The record performance was largely down to increased sales at BAE’s U.S. subsidiaries, with sales at the company’s Land and Armaments group in the U.S. rising from $7 billion to $12 billion.

Shares in the Home Retail Group Plc rose to a four-month high in London trading after reports that Wal-Mart Stores Inc.’s Asda may be interested in making an offer for the U.K. company. On the news, Home Retail’s shares gained as much as 5.6 percent and closed up 14.7 pence to 295.1 pence as, valuing the company at £2.59 billion pounds ($4 billion).

Home Retail, owner of the U.K.’s Argos catalog stores, had sales of just less than £6 billion pounds in the year ended Feb. 27. A spokesman for Home Retail, based in Milton Keynes, declined to comment on the report.

Liverpool Football Club’s U.S. owners have appointed Barclays Capital help find a buyer for the Premiership club. Current owners George Gillett and Tom Hicks bought the club in 2007 for £219 million pounds. Gillett and Hicks have in the past hired Merrill Lynch and Rothschild to attract minority investors and their decision to appoint Barclays indicates they are now stepping up efforts to achieve an outright sale.

A study has suggested that a permanent rise in the price of oil would leave the UK economy in better shape than the other major importers, especially Japan, the U.S. and the Euro zone. Although all big oil-importing economies would suffer from a higher oil price, Japan and the U.S. would be hardest hit, while the UK would withstand the shock relatively well, with a $10 price rise contracting its economy by just 0.4 percent.

The pound continues to make some slow momentum, remaining above the $1.50 level at $1.5374, while falling back in value ever so slightly against the Euro at 1.1308.

The FTSE 100 stuttered on some insecure trading, falling 15.99 points to 5761.66.

The euro has jumped sharply against the dollar and the pound after the Eurozone agreed details of a multi-billion euro loan package to debt-ridden Greece.

The Euro rose by more than 2 cents, against the dollar, to close on $1.3672. While rising to 88.408 pence against the pound.

The rise came after the Eurozone member nations eventually agreed to provide loans of up to €30 billion (£27 billion) in the first year of a three-year package. Greece hopes it will not have to ask for the emergency loans and Instead the implementation of an extensive package of austerity measures will help to cut its debt levels and restore confidence in Greek government debt.

In the US it was announced that the trade deficit has widened to $39.7 billion (£20.8 billion) in February, as import growth continued to outpace exports.

According to figures issued by the US Department of Commerce, the overall trade deficit increased by $2.7 billion from January. It also announced that imports were up 20.5% to $182.9 billion from the same month in 2009 while exports were up only 14.3% to $143.2 billion.

The trade figures confirm the trend of resurgent imports outpacing the rebound in exports as the US economy recovers from recession.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average continued to rise, crossing the 11,000 point barrier at 11.0032.46 while the NASDAQ Composite was 21 points higher at 2,4664.86

US chip maker Intel has announced net record incomes for the first quarter of $2.44 billion (£1.59 billion) compared with $629 million reported for the first quarter in 2009, making for almost a quadruple increase. Intel’s turnover was up 44% to $10.3 billion showing recovery from the global recession is well under way in the computer hardware department.

The social networking site Twitter has announced their plans to allow advertising on their site; a spokesperson for Twitter said that for the first time.

Advertisers would be able to buy "Promoted Tweets" that will appear on Twitter’s search results pages, whilst going on to point out that "Promoted Tweets" will differ from traditional adverts. Instead these Tweets must "resonate with users" and delivered in a conversational tone.

Twitter have reportedly already signed up number of big name organisations such as Sony Pictures, coffee chain Starbucks and US retailer Best Buy to tweet.

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Radical overhaul of state pension called for.

April 2nd, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Daily News, Debt, Global Credit Crisis, Money Management, Recession, Saving, The Markets, UK Bank Accounts, UK Banks, UK Small Business, World Banks, savings accounts

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The National Association of Pension Funds (NAPF) have called for a radical overhaul of the state pension system.

The NAPF, a leading pension’s body wants the next government to introduce a new ‘Foundation Pension’ that would combine the Basic State Pension and the Second State Pension and would entitle all Britons to a state retirement pot of £8,000 a year. If accepted the NAPF proposals would boost pensioners’ incomes initially by £25 a week and would later rise in line with average UK earnings. In addition, around two million UK pensioners would no longer be required to request means-tested benefits.

Consumer Focus, a UK consumer watchdog is set to complain to government regulators about the fact that individual savings accounts holders are missing out on £3 billion a year in interest because of inefficient practices by providers.

The organization are to complain to the Office of Fair Trading stating that savers were being unfairly treated by banks and building societies by the practice of “bait pricing”, meaning offering attractive headline rates on cash Individual Savings Accounts (Isas) only to see the interest rates dropping dramatically drop a short time later.

Consumer Focus have also pointed out that account holders often face unnecessary and costly delays when transferring accounts, as well as a lack of clarity on interest rates. In certain cases arbitrary rules were imposed by cash Isa providers forbidding transfers into more attractive accounts.

According to the Office of National Statistics (ONS), growth in UK household incomes has decreased rapidly during three terms of the Labour government. The ONS report shows that while growth to disposable income increased by 13 percent per person between 1997 and 2001, after these figures were adjusted to meet inflation, true incomes rose by just 1.2 percent between 2005 and 2008. And when the credit bubble was at its peak, between 2006 and 2007, incomes barely increased. During Labour’s second term in government from 2001-05, Growth in pay, benefits, pensions and dividends after tax fell to seven percent

The UK government’s car scrappage scheme, has officially come to an end, with at least 330,000 cars have been sold.

After the scheme was introduced a year ago to help the recession-hit motor industry cope with falling sales, a fifth of cars sold in the UK were part of the scheme which may have created around 4,000 new jobs with manufacturers and suppliers were supported by the scheme.

Business Secretary Lord Mandelson stated his pleasure that the scrappage scheme has delivered the results aimed for. Estimates that the 330,000 figure could still rise as a number of cars purchased through the scheme are yet be registered, meaning that figure could rise to 400,000.

Clothing retailer Matalan have announced the completion of £525 million capital rising which will replace its existing debt package. Matalan was withdrawn from the market in March after private equity groups failed to meet the £1.5 billion valuation set by Matalan. The successful refinancing means a £250 million dividend for Matalan’s founder John Hargreaves.

Music Company EMI continue to make waves, with the news that they may be taken over by its bankers. The move comes after EMI failed to meet the terms of their covenants after failing to clinch a deal with Universal to sell them their distribution rights in the United States. The debt stems from a £4.2 billion pound buyout in 2007, leaving Terra Firma the private equity firm, that owns EMI holding a £3 billion debt to Citigroup. Terra Firma is now faced with the prospect of approaching their investors in an attempt to raise £20 million pounds by June 12 or face the prospect of Citigroup seizing control of EMI.

The news that manufacturing growth in the UK has risen at its fastest pace since 1994, saw Sterling making a long overdue rise. The pound climbed 0.5 per cent to $1.5274 and gained 0.4 per cent versus the euro to close on 1.1257.

The benchmark FTSE 100 was also up as the market closed for the Easter weekend. It rose 65 points to 5,744.89, making for a 5 per cent rise during the first three months of the year, and its best start to the year since 2006

A report from the Institute for Supply Management’s (ISM’s) as shown that the US manufacturing sector expanded in March at its fastest rate for six years.

The highly rated ISM’s purchasing managers index rose by 3.1 points to 59.6 points in March. Any figure of 50 or above represents growth, and last month was the eighth in succession that US manufacturers have increased their output.

The news of USA’s continued growth, which was at its fastest for 15 years in March comes after China and European nations also announced higher factory output.

As Wall Street wrapped up for the long Easter weekend, the Dow Jones Index was still on the rise up 70.44 points to 10927.07. The NASDAQ was less conservative, rising just 4.62 points to close on 2402.58

The number of Americans filing for unemployment insurance fell for the first time fell last week, matching the lowest level since August 2008. According to government data released today by the US Labor Department, there were 439,000 initial jobless claims filed in the week ended March 27, down 6,000 from an upwardly revised 445,000 the previous week.

Toyota’s US sales have reportedly bounced back as substantial discounts helped to win back customers who had been shaken by the firm’s mass safety recalls. Sales in the US for the Japanese carmaker jumped by 40.7 %in March compared with a year earlier, and after a slump of 8.7% in February.

Ford and General Motors also saw their sales rise last month, up 39.8% and 20.6% respectively, while Chrysler saw its sales fall 8.3%.

In Japan a key survey of local manufacturers has indicated that confidence is continuing to return to businesses, with the Bank of Japan’s Tankan index showing that business confidence had improved for the fourth straight quarter. The news came as Toyota saw a 50% increase in domestic car sales last month, belying some of the safety problems that have been reported in the last few weeks.

Oil moved forward from the $83-a-barrel level that has proved its undoing on many occasions over recent weeks, climbing 1.3 per cent to $84.82, the highest point since October 2008.

Gold also joined the rush, rising 1.3 per cent to close on $1,126 an ounce

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UK house prices rise in March

April 2nd, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Energy Prices, Global Credit Crisis, Loans, Money Management, Mortgages, Recession, Saving, Stocks and shares, The Budget, UK Bank Accounts, UK Banks, World Banks

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A recent report has stated that UK House prices have raised by more than 0.7 % (£3,000), while updates forecasts show that annual property inflation is due to slow down from the current rate of 9%. The increase more or less cancels the 0.8% fall in February.

The average UK property is now valued at £164,519, £16,773 more than the in February 2009, which was the low point in the recent property value slump In from the worst recession since World War II.

In last week’s budget, Chancellor of the Exchequer Alistair Darling scrapped a tax on house purchases for first-time buyers spending £250,000 pounds or less. The tax previously started at 1 percent for properties costing more than £125,000 pounds. The policy will mean nine in 10 first-time buyers will avoid the levy, according to government forecasts. Signs of increased demand is recent mortgage approval figures s released that show that almost 60.000 new mortgages were approved in February, more than double those approved at the at the trough of the financial crisis in November 2008, and less than half the 120,000 reading at the peak of the boom.

The Bank of England said net mortgage lending for February 2010 rose by £1.6 billion pounds, the most since December 2008.

In addition, figures recently released show that UK households added to their unsecured debts in February, with net consumer credit rising by £528 million pounds, a significant increase on economist’s predictions of a £400 million-pound increase. Credit-card lending increased by £374 million, while personal loans and overdrafts increased by £154 million.

Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS) have been fined £28.6 million for breaking competition law in the first big case brought against a financial services company, potentially exposing the part-nationalised bank to lawsuits from clients. RBS admitted staff involved in making loans to big law and accounting firms had illegally given pricing data to counterparts at Barclays. Barclays reportedly escaped being penalised because it voluntarily disclosed its part in the affair to the Office of Fair Trading.

Desire Petroleum, the British company who are drilling for oil off the Falkland islands have seen their shares halve in value , after they revealed the existing supply may not be commercially viable.

In a statement on their Web site, Desire stated that "oil may be present in thin intervals, but the reservoir quality is poor."

Desire will release the final results of its 30-day test drilling operation in the South Atlantic archipelago on Wednesday. According to the company it may have to drill deeper to find greater quantities of oil and gas.

Desire estimated that the North Falkland Basin could contain 3.5 billion barrels of oil as well as having "significant gas potential."

Potential revenues from oil and gas reignited have already re-ignited a long-running dispute between London and Buenos Aires over ownership of the Falklands.

Leasing UK high street banking groups, Banco Santander SA and Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc are reported to be in advanced talks with the U.K. government over allowing their client’s access to their bank accounts through Britain’s 11,500 Post Offices. According to a recent statement, the negotiations are part of a package of measures intended to breathe life back into the Post Office network. Business Secretary Peter Mandelson is about to announce another series of measures, including allowing consumers to open a Post Office current account, issue mortgages for up to 90 percent of a property’s value. Another revolutionary proposal will be subsidised savings accounts for people on low incomes. If Mandelson’s proposal bears fruit, it means that the government will add 50 pence for every pound saved.

Mandelson was reported to have said that the Post Office is a well-loved community institution. "This move will bring more banking services back to the heart of those communities.” He concluded.

Nowadays, with pensions and benefits being paid directly into bank accounts, and services including car licensing have gone online. Falling revenue has seen the number of U.K. Post Office branches declined from 25,000 in their peak during the 1960s.

U.K. publisher Daily Mail & General Trust PLC have announced their predictions that first-half operating profit will be up sharply for the last six months trading figures. They state that the increase is due primarily to improvements within its consumer businesses, but it remains cautious about the second half of the year given the political uncertainty in the U.K. ahead of the imminent general election. The Daily Mail and the Sunday Mail newspapers reported an 8% rise in underlying advertising revenues at Associated Newspapers for the six months period.

The pound was little changed at $1.5079 while the Euro rose on increased optimism on the Greek situation to €1.1249.

The FTSE 100 index dropped again on trading, finishing down 31 points to 5,672.32

The Dow Jones industrial average ended at a fresh 18-month high and the rest of the market churned Tuesday as investors weighed a rise in consumer confidence, more weakness in the housing market and a stronger dollar.

The Dow Jones industrial average added 11 points, or 0.1%, closing at 10,907.42, the highest finish since 11,143.13 on Sept. 26, 2008. The NASDAQ composite also added 6 points to close on 2410.69.

The Irish government are expected to inject a further €8.3 billion Euros (£7.4 billion, $9.9 billion) into the nationalised Anglo Irish Bank.

A spokesperson for the Irish Finance Ministry revealed that pumping in more money was the" best of a series of bad options". Although both Allied Irish Banks and Bank of Ireland will attempt to raise funding from private investors, it appears more likely that Allied Irish Banks will also require taxpayer support,

This second bailout follows the nationalisation of Anglo Irish Bank last year.

The Irish government also owns 25% and 16% stakes in Allied Irish Banks and Bank of Ireland respectively

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Treasury preparing to re-privatise RBS And Lloyds.

March 30th, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Exchage Rate, Global Credit Crisis, Money Management, Mortgages, Recession, Retail, Stocks and shares, UK Banks, UK Small Business, UK employment, World Banks

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There is a lot of speculation about that the Treasury has set the wheels in motion to reduce their stake in the Royal Bank of Scotland and Lloyds Banking Group, both of which are partially state-owned. The staged de-privitisation will be effected through the creation of "convertible gilts", or government bonds. These bonds could then be exchanged for Lloyds or RBS shares once certain price targets are achieved. This way the government might be able to slowly reduce the taxpayers’ stake in the banks, hopefully over the next five years.

On another vein, the Treasury has warned banks that investors could be given the powers to veto top salaries, even before they are paid. Current rules that allow shareholders to vote on remuneration reports detailing pay only for the previous year, meaning that anyone that votes against bonuses in particular or large and unjustified ones in particular are for the protocol only. The revised proposals were made in Budget documents issued by the Treasury, with a more detailed and final proposal unlikely to come before the election.

Telecoms Company Vodafone are reported to be in discussions with their US counterpart Verizon Communications over the future of Verizon Wireless, which is a US mobile phone joint venture between the two companies. Apparently the discussions are based around a full merger of the two groups, which could take the form of an all-stock combination with a value of more than £120 billion.

US consumer electronics retailer Best Buy have outline details of their expansion plans for the UK. Best Buy intends to open four stores across the UK in the spring. A fifth will open in south London in the autumn.

Ofcom has ruled that UK mobile phone companies will have to cut their charges by at least a billion pounds a year. The ruling comes after a review of the cost of connecting mobile phone calls from one network to another, with the move is expected to aid smaller operators as well as consumers, to cut losses through having to pay extra to connect customers to rival networks.

Toyota announced before the weekend that they are temporarily halting production at its factories in France and the UK. The stoppage, expected to last for a total of nine days, come as a result of falling sales that the company have partly attributed to its recent recall woes.

Toyota will put production on hold at its two factories in Britain for five working days sometime in May. In early June, Toyota also plans to halt one of its two assembly lines at its Burnaston plant for a further five working days. The stoppages come after Toyota recalled 8.5 million vehicles globally over braking problems in its Prius hybrid, sticky gas pedals and pedals that can get stuck under floor mats. Toyota’s sales in the 27-nation European Union sank 20 percent in February from a year earlier, even though overall EU car sales rose 3 percent.

News has been released that the Teeside Cast Products steelmaking site has been approached by a potential buyer, with the purchase offer being the first confirmed approach since Corus CSL announced last year it was to end production. The offer has come from Rutland Partners, a London-based mid-market firm specialises in turning round underperforming companies.

Operator of the National Lottery, Camelot have announced that they are to be sold to the Ontario Teachers’ Pension Plan (OTPP) for close to £400 million pounds. A representative of OTPP has stated that managed to defeat private equity group CVC’s bid, largely because as a pension fund they promises long-term stability for the lottery. The bid from OTPP is being underwritten by the Royal Bank of Canada.

The Times and Sunday Times newspapers will start charging to access their websites in June, owner News International (NI) has announced.

Users will be required to pay £1 for a single day’s access and £2 for a week’s subscription. The move looks likely to open a new front in the printed media/internet front and will be watched closely by the industry.

At long last the sale of the Independent and Independent on Sunday newspapers to Alexander Lebedev, owner of the London Evening Standard has been completed.

The Russian billionaire purchased the loss-making paper from Irish company Independent News & Media (INM) for £1, the cost of one daily edition of the newspaper.

The deal between the two parties has been under discussion for many months.

American businessman Stan Kroenke increased his stake in the Arsenal football club. His latest shares acquisition places him within 10 shares of the threshold that forces him to make a takeover bid of the English soccer power.

Kroenke now owns 29.9 percent after acquiring seven more shares ay at a cost of $12,650 each, the Premier League club announced before the weekend. If the Denver based Kroenke passes the 30 percent mark, he will be obliged to make an offer for the remaining shares in Arsenal Holdings.

Kroenke, who first bought a 9.99 percent stake in Arsenal in 2007

The Euro has strengthened against the dollar and the pound after eurozone leaders agreed a financial aid package to help debt-laden Greece.

The leaders agreed to provide €22 billion (£20 billion) should Greece run into difficulties borrowing money to service its high debt levels.

On Friday the euro rose by more than one cent to $1.3393 before falling back slightly. The pound also declined against the euro, paring a weekly advance, as a report showed U.K. business investment had the biggest annual drop on record in the fourth quarter, fueling concern the recovery has yet to take hold.

The pound headed for a second weekly loss versus the dollar.

The pound continues to be a problematic issue in the Forex markets. It closed on Friday y on $1.4877 while the Euro fell to €1.1113.

The FTSE 100 index dropped before close on Friday, finishing down 24.63 points to 5,703.02.

The White House announced on Friday that they will require lenders to lower the mortgage payments of some unemployed workers and encourage lenders to eliminate some principal debt of homeowners who owe more than their home is worth.

President Barack Obama’s plan comes after increasing political pressure to change his strategy for helping struggling homeowners and stem the tide of rising foreclosures. This is the second major housing initiative announced in as many months.

Delinquencies on U.S. mortgages rose to nearly 14 percent in late 2009, led by a sharp increase in seriously overdue home loans held by the most credit-worthy borrowers.

Obama’s $75 billion homeowner assistance program announced last year has been widely criticized as ineffective by both Democrats and Republicans on Capitol Hill.

The Dow Jones rose a little to complete a week of impressive gains closing on 10850.36. The NASDAQ dropped 2 points to 2395.41.

US economic growth has been revised down to an annualised rate of 5.6% for the fourth quarter of 2009 from 5.9%, in the US Commerce Department’s third estimate of fourth-quarter GDP.

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Unions set talks to avert national rail strike

March 22nd, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Employment, Global Credit Crisis, Money Management, Recession, Retail, UK Banks, UK Small Business, UK employment, World Banks

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Under threat of the first nationwide strike by signalmen in 16 years, Network Rail announced on Friday night that it would meet next week at conciliation service Acas to discuss two separate disputes with the Rail, Maritime and Transport Union (RMT) and the TSSA, which represents managerial grades. The RMT is already threatening to strike over a proposed restructure of Network Rail’s maintenance operations which could lead to the loss of up to 1,500 jobs. However there are also worries over potential strike action by signalers in several areas of the country. The Acas talks will take place on either Monday or Tuesday.

In the air, British Airways have announced that their contingency plans for the first day of a three-day cabin crew strike have gone "extremely well".

A spokesman for BA said that according to their program, more than 65% of passengers would reach their destinations, with 1,157 staff working and some canceled flights reinstated. However the Unite union, representing the striking crew members has speculated that only a third of BA’s normal flights took off, with 125 out of its 250 planes grounded.

Another four-day strike is planned for 27 March in the pay and conditions row.

Within the next few days Chancellor Alistair Darling is expected to endorse plans for a global tax on certain financial institutions. These are institutions that are likely to pose a "systemic risk" by being dependent on government insurance schemes to stay afloat. Darling us expected to use the budget announcement to detail his backing of the proposals, with his key recommendations being that government revenue raised should go to national governments rather than an insurance scheme, which he believes would encourage banks to take more risk on lending and expansion. Darling’s views are similar to those expressed recently by Dominique Strauss-Khan head of the International Monetary Fund (IMF), who encouraged Europe to establish a system of orderly bankruptcy for cross border banks which would be less dependent on insurance schemes to fund bailouts.

In a recent survey conducted by Small Business Britain Entrepreneurs it was revealed that 40 per cent of small and medium, sized business enterprises (SMEs) would like to see a fall in employers’ national insurance contributions. In addition over 45 per cent would like to see banks to offer better rates to smaller firms. All in all they have called for Chancellor Alistair Darling’s budget to support small and medium-sized businesses, while at the same time, according to an unrelated survey small and medium-sized businesses are reported to be gaining increased confidence that the UK’s economic recovery looks likely to continue. The HSBC’s Global Small Business Confidence Monitor has reported that over three-quarters of SMEs now expected steady or increasing growth over the next six months

On the downside, the recent severe spell of weather has reportedly caused losses of around £7 billion pounds to SMEs. A survey showed that nearly two-fifths of those taking part stating that the harshest winter in decades had forced them temporarily cease operations, whilst more than forty percent said that weather conditions had cause some form of disruption to their business. Just less than a quarter of the firms surveyed announced that had not been affected by the severe weather in January.

Recent figures published today by the Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders (SMMT) revealed that UK car production in February increased by almost two thirds against the same month in 2009, representing the fourth consecutive month that output has seen a year-on-year increase.

The SMMT announced that close to 100,000 cars came off the production line in February, with the majority going for export. In addition, around 10,226 commercial vehicles were also produced in February. A spokesman for the SMMT said the scrappage scheme continues to boost demand and production. The ‘cash for bangers scheme is due to expire at the end of this month with the SMMT predicting that the industry will be affected by the scheme drawing to a close.

Clothing retailer Next are expected to announce in their full year results due out on Wednesday that it has beaten many of its high street rivals. Pre-tax profits are predicted to have risen by £66 million pounds to £635 million pounds. Other companies due to release their results this week include supermarket giant Sainsbury, with their fourth-quarter trading figures due out on Thursday.

The pound continues to fall sharply against the dollar and the Euro, with the fall not being helped by a Bank of England (BOE) policymaker predicting that the UK could yet fall back into recession. On that piece of optimistic news the pound fell against the dollar, to $1.503. The pound fell against the Euro to 1.100. The prediction of the chance of double-dip recession taking place came from a BOE Monetary Policy Committee member Andrew Sentance.

On the FTSE, Banks were the biggest risers, with Barclays, Royal Bank of Scotland and Lloyds Banking Group all on the up.

Partially state owned, Lloyds announced a return to profitability in 2010 after two years of heavy losses. Their recovery was helped by lower than expected bad debts and tight cost controls. On the news shares in Lloyds Banking Group s rose sharply after the bank announced that they had succeeded in reserving losses of £6.3 billion ($9.5 billion) in 2009

Energy shares were also on a high with BP and Royal Dutch Shell both among the early risers.

Meanwhile the FTSE was continuing to rose, aided by news that Lloyds Banking Group said it would return to profitability in 2010

The FTSE 100 index finished for the weekend at 5,650.13, after hitting a 21-month closing peak on Wednesday.

On Wall Street before the weekend close, the Dow Jones was still on the rise, this time by 83 points to close on 10741.98. The NASDAQ took a little dip, after enjoying a good week. It fell four points to 2374.41.

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BOE predict stability in the labour market in coming months.

March 17th, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Employment, Global Credit Crisis, Recession, Stocks and shares, UK Bank Accounts, UK Banks, UK employment, World Banks

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As the UK’s emergence from the recession gains slow but steady momentum recent predictions from the Bank of England show that the number of jobs available on the market are unlikely to deteriorate any further, Reasons given are that most UK companies are doing the maximum to maintain current staff levels to cope with the anticipated upturn in demand.

According to spokesman for the BOE, the banks findings were that although employment had fallen during the recession, it was much less than the comparative fall in output. Figure confirm that although unemployment had risen in the last two years, it was much less pronounced than during the previous two periods of recession in the 1980s and 1990s, although the current recession was much more severe. Despite that slightly rosy report, the fact remains that unemployment benefit claims jumped in January to the highest level since Labour rose to power almost 13 years ago.

According to a European Commission (EC) report due to be published later this week, the UK government’s plans to reduce their budget deficit are far from being realistic as well as lacking in ambition

The EC report went on to warns hand out a warning that if the UK continues on their current path, the will not be able to cut their deficit to meet the deadline set by the EU rules by 2015. The EU are insisting that

Deficits in their member countries must be less than three percent of their gross domestic production (GDP) by then. To show how far the UK is lagging behind is that the GDP in the UK is expected to be as high as 12.6% or £178 billion.

British Airways, facing imminent strike action from their cabin crew, have revealed their contingency plans to cope with the crisis. The plans, if they need arises to put them into action, will allow it to the airline to handle around 60% of its scheduled flights, with 45,000 passengers taking their seats during the first stage of the strike, due to begin on the 20th of March, .

Those who BA will be unable to transport will be given the option of flying with other airlines. Meanwhile plans for the second round of strikes will be announced nearer the date. Of the almost two thousand flights scheduled during the strike dates, more than half will need to be cancelled. However BA expects that all of their long-haul flights and more than half of short-haul flights taking off from Gatwick airport will take place.

Another sign that all is not well with the UK travel industry is the news that UK’s airports handled 7.4% fewer passengers in 2009 than in the previous year, making for the largest decline in traffic in history

The Civil Aviation Authority (CAA) also announced that this was the first time that passenger traffic had fallen for two consecutive years, with charter flights being especially hit, down by 17%, in total more than two hundred million passengers passed through UK airports in 2009, the lowest number

since 2004. Overall scheduled airline traffic fell by six percent while.

domestic flight traffic was down by eight percent.

Telecommunications companies are getting hot under the collar about the government’s plans to increase the availability of internet access on mobile phones, with some of them going as far as threatening legal action. Among the companies who are investigating legal action are O2 and Vodafone upset, after UK government ministers finally submitted their proposals designed to end the long-standing dispute between mobile phone operators over radio spectrum. Hopes are that the law will be passed by the government before the end of March and they will give the green light to plans to hold a large air wave auction in early 2011. However UK telecommunications companies with O2 and Vodafone leading the way hope that they will be delay the auction.

On the money markets, Sterling continues to be in the doldrums, sitting on $1.5228 and €1.1046 with no signs or reasons for a recovery in sight. The pound ended two days of minimal gains against the dollar after a private report showed U.K. home sellers raised asking prices by the smallest amount for March on record as the supply of available properties increased.

On the FTSE, things were looking a lot more optimistic, with the 100 index rising 26 points to 5620.43.

In the US, the big news was that industrial production has again increased in February, making it for the eighth consecutive, despite analysts’ predictions that it was likely to fall. According to the Federal Reserve who produces the figure, production would have been even higher had it not been affected by severe winter storms that had plagued the industrialized zones in the North East of the Country in February

Overall industrial output rose by 0.1% in February, from January’s figures while the manufacturing sector dropped by 0.2%. Production in consumer goods fell by 0.4% in February, much of it because of a drop in new car sales.

On Wall Street optimism was in the air, with the Dow Jones rising again, this time by 43.83 points to close on 10658.98. The NASDAQ showed a very commendable rise or 15 points to 2378.01.

The US Federal Reserve has again repeated their pledge to hold interest rates at record lows in order to allow the continuation of the economic recovery. Main interest rate would be kept at the current 0% to 0.25% range, news that was widely expected.

The Feds rate-setting committee announced that the data being gatherer on the US economy described a mixed picture of the recovery from recession.

The troubled Euro succeeded in reaching a five-week high against the yen in money markets over the last two days. The rise was caused by increased speculation that the European Union will announce their bail out plans for Greece. When the plans are eventually released, anticipations are that there will be an increase in demand for the Eurozone currency.

On concerns that the Bank of Japan will announce extra credit-easing steps at its two-day policy meeting, the yen was close to a three-week low versus the dollar. Japanese Prime Minister Yukio Hatoyama had sown some seeds of doubt regarding the strength of the currency when he announced last week that his government needed to take steps to arrest the currency’s rise.

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Darling is looking for some credit.

March 16th, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Energy Prices, Global Credit Crisis, Money Management, Recession, Retail, Stocks and shares, UK Banks, UK Small Business, World Banks

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Chancellor Alistair Darling, possibly with an eye to future job prospects, is expected to blow his own horn in the coming days, by claiming that the Labour government’s investment in jobs programmes are responsible for saving no less than £12 billion during the recession. Darling backed up his claims by stating that in the 2009 budget, the government’s prediction for unemployment was as high as 2.09 million by the end of 2009 and reaching close to 2.5 million in 2010. By the end of December of last year they had already revised, their estimates down to one and three quarters of a million by end 2009 and less than two million for 2010. The reduced number of benefit claimants, if maintained, will save £10 billion over the next five years according to the stressed Chancellor’s figures.

There is much speculation afoot that the UK government are about to introduce important legislation regarding the use of credit cards. The new legislation will prohibit credit card companies from using a method of calculating interest known as the "adverse order of payments method. The adverse order of payments is where credit card companies force customers to pay off the debts on their account holding the lowest rates of interest before higher interest rate debt is reduced. Figures show that currently there are close to ten million people in the UK holding credit card debts with multiple interest rates. The practice is said to cost credit card holders an average of around £250 pounds in the first year they hold the card.

Business Secretary Lord Mandelson has announced that the UK government will be offering a £270 million loan to GM designed to safeguard five thousand Vauxhall jobs in the UK. The money, which will go to Vauxhall’s parent company GM Europe, will guarantee production at the car maker’s plants in Luton and Ellesmere Port. According to a statement from Lord Mandelson, the outline deal followed "highly complex" talks between the Government and bosses in the US.

Lord Mandelson stressed in his statement: "I always said the Government would stand foursquare behind Vauxhall. With this announcement, we have kept our word." Unite boss Tony Woodley who represent the Vauxhall workers chipped in by saying that the loan is great news for British industry.

Lloyds Banking Group Plc and Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc improved on the increase in value of their U.S. bank shares. RBS soared 5 percent to 42.57 pence. U.S. banks yesterday closed at the highest since November 2008, led by Citigroup Inc. Lloyds climbed 3.4 percent to 58.47 pence. The bank is close to agreeing a joint venture to sell a number of the less than worthwhile assets assembled by HBOS.

BSkyB, the U.K.’s biggest pay-television provider, surged the most in almost eight months on a report that Rupert Murdoch’s News Corp. may bid for the shares that the y currently do not hold in the company. On the news BSkyB rose 5 percent to 598 pence, the biggest gain since July 30. News Corp, which already owns 39 percent of the pay-TV company, may be planning to pay 735 pence a share for the stake it doesn’t already own.

The Pound was still seen to be struggling again the main currencies, although the currency did rise slightly before the weekend. The pound was on $1.5183 while remaining almost on par with the Euro on €1.1033

As the markets closed for the weekend U.K. stocks gained, extending a second weekly increase for the benchmark FTSE 100 Index, largely on the back of increases in financial share values.

The FTSE 100 increased 0.2 percent to 5,625.65, bringing its weekly gain to 0.5 percent. The FTSE 100 has climbed to near the highest level since June 2008, lifted by optimism that the global economic recovery and higher earnings will support the 12-month rally in equities.

Former executives of the now defunct Lehman Brothers firm as well as the senior executives of their erstwhile auditor, Ernst & Young headed home for a weekend of self contemplation as they were severely censured in a recent report for some serious professional lapses that led to the firm’s collapse.

The report also went on to say that Lehman trading on knowing they were insolvent for a number of weeks before eventually declaring themselves bankrupt. Lehman’s bankruptcy is generally recognized as being the catalyst that sparked of the global financial meltdown. The collapse of the 158-year-old investment bank in September 2008 was the world’s largest bankruptcy at that time.

The report made for some heavy and disturbing reading, accusing the Lehman Brothers’ management of "actionable balance sheet manipulation" and using accounting tricks to hide debts. In their defence, Ernst & Young said that its last audit of Lehman was "fairly presented" according to accounting rules. As Lehman Brothers wobbled on the edge of collapse, a determined effort from Wall Street, the City of London, and the US and UK governments did all that they could to prevent the banks’ fearing the chain reaction that Lehman’s failure would set off around the globe.

Whether the long awaited report had an effect on Wall Street trading remains to be seen, but share trading was certainly restrained on Friday before the markets closed. The Dow Jones was up 12. 85 points to 10624.49 while the NASDAQ dropped less than a point to 2367.66

After weeks of crisis, it looks like the Eurozone region are on the verge of agreeing to support a multibillion-euro bailout for Greece as part of a package to shore up the Euro, the zone’s single currency.

Despite huge resistance, Germany, who were against the bailout, have bowed to pressure from fellow members of the 16 strong Eurozone members who expect to draw up the rescue package in the early days of this week. At the same time, the Eurozone members, at Germany’s behest, will introduce new legislation to enforce greater fiscal discipline among its members.

According to a senior European commission official, the Euro member states have agreed to provide a series of loans or loan guarantees to Greece in the likely event that Athens finds itself unable to refinance its soaring debt and requests help from the EU. Speculation has it that the initial aid to Greece could reach as high as €25 billion (£22.6 billion), with estimates that the total extent of Greece’s financial problems could see them needing up to €55 billion in loans by the end of 2010. Despite the fact that Germany were the most reluctant to come to the rescue of a fiscal delinquent in the current crisis, they have played the pivotal role in organising the rescue package, in their role as the EU’s traditional paymaster,

According to a report by the International Energy Agency (IEA),

China’s demand for oil jumped by an "astonishing" 28% in January compared with the January 2009. The IEA went on to point out that added that the estimated global demand for oil in 2010 would be driven by rising demand from emerging markets, with half of all growth coming from Asia while demand in developed countries is likely to fall by 0.3%.

The IEA has increased its global oil demand forecast for 2010 by 1.8% to 86.6 million barrels a day.

Oil prices were above $83 a barrel on Friday, the highest in two months.

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The cost of the winter comes home to UK insurance companies.

March 15th, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Employment, Global Credit Crisis, Money Management, Recession, Retail, Stocks and shares, UK Banks, World Banks

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Recent figures have shown that insurers paid out £650 million from 335,000 claims, with most of them were caused by the wintry weather in the UK this year. According to the Association of British Insurers (ABI), the biggest chunk of the payout was to motorists whose vehicles were damaged vehicles on the slippery roads during January, which was the eighth coldest month on record and the UK’s worst since 1987. The ABI went on to confirm most of the £650 million claims were from 18 December to 13 January when the number of homes, vehicles and businesses all experience damages as a result of the winter weather. Specifically, £395 million was paid out to motorists from 268,400 motor insurance claims.

A new round of tougher stress tests have been ordered by regulators for the UK banks to make sure that if a forecasted "double dip" in the UK economy should occur , they will be able to withstand it in better shape than they did in the " first dip." The banks will be required to prove that their "tier core one capital ratio" would be capable of remaining above the minimum four percent level even if the economy contracted an additional 2.3 percent. These figures were part of a projection provided by the Financial Services Authority said in their annual Financial Risk Outlook.

Official statistics revealed on Thursday that UK industrial output fell 0.9% in January, making for the first drop in five months. The news out a damper on speculation of continued expansion of industrial output, and put further strain on the pound which is still hovering around the $1.50 mark.

The British Property Federation (BPF) has warned against possible abuse of insolvency practices in Britain’s frail real estate market as profitable tenants seek to renegotiate leases signed in better economic times.

The industry body, representing blue chip landlords such as Land Securities and British Land, has condemned the trend. A spokesperson for the BPF explained their standpoint as follows. "Landlords are caught between rock and a hard place when it comes to bailing out occupiers at the expense of their shareholders or facing the prospect of empty space and the costs that come with it,"

BPF has called for tightening of insolvency rules that she said unfairly penalised property company shareholders, among them under fire pension funds, for badly negotiating leases.

Sterling continued to be in the doldrums, with the pound closing yesterday up slightly on $1.5123 while falling against the Euro to €1.1011.

On the FTSE, the star of the show was undoubtedly the Tullett Prebon Company. Tullett Prebon are an interdealer broker, whose shares rose by 25.7% as speculation mounted that the company was in the throes of talks regarding a possible sale of the company to with the Bank of China being marked as potential bidders.

UK equities continued to rally in midweek, despite the weaker-than-forecast manufacturing data. Investors appeared to be focusing their efforts on the financial and mining sectors.

The FTSE 100 index took on 23.0 points to close on 5617. 26 it’s highest level since June 2008, closing at 5,617.26.

The US government announced that they had recorded a budget deficit of $221 billion (£147.6 billion) in February, making for their largest monthly deficit in s history.

Figures from the US treasury now show that the United States total deficit since the beginning of the fiscal year which began in October 2009 now stands at $651.6 billion, putting it well on track to beat last year’s record annual budget deficit of $1.4 trillion, with Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner calling the deficit "unsustainable".

On the Wall Street the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped back a little, down 21 points to close on 10,566.95. The NASDAQ Composite was still climbing, rising just 9 points to close on 2,356.27

China’s exports jumped by 46% in February compared with a year ago, raising hopes of a strong recovery in global trade.

The increase was higher than analysts’ expectations of a rise of between 35% and 40%.

It is likely to increase pressure on the Chinese government to raise the value of the yuan, which the US in particular complains is undervalued.

China’s imports also rose strongly, increasing by 44.7% last month

Microsoft founder Bill Gates must have been feeling a little dizzy yesterday after it was announced that he had been knocked down from one of his many pedestals, This one was to second place in Forbes magazine’s billionaire’s list, and not by his close friend US investor Warren Buffet who was in third, but by Mexican telecom giant Carlos Slim, which made for the first time since 1994 that an American has not led the who has got the most cash rankings. Mr Slam’s fortune rose by $18.5 billion (£12.4 billion) from last year to $53.5 billion. The Gates fortune now totals $53 billion, while investment guru Buffet has fallen on hard times, now worth only $43 billion.

2009 was all in all a tough year for billionaires with 332 of them being reduced to being mere multi-millionaires, while around two hundred news ones being accepted to the club, according to the Forbes list.

In the UK, the sixth Duke of Westminster Gerald Grosvenor remained the wealthiest Briton with a net worth of $12 billion as he improved his finances by $1 billion despite the UK property slump. The improving health of the global economy meant that 55 countries were represented in the Forbes, among them China. In fact if you take in Hong Kong, the Chinese now account for 89 of the world’s billionaires, second only to the United States with 403 billionaires.

One or two of them must come from the Chinese automotive industry, which increase capacity at an alarming rate in order to meet demand. Changan Automobile, the 4th largest domestic producer by sales (and a strategic partner of Ford) announced 2009 total revenues up by 88.4%, with an almost two-thirds increase in total units sold. Announcing the figures, the company also said that they expect liberal government policies will continue to support industry growth at the present pace for the foreseeable and that facility expansion will likely continue. Changan is not alone in ramping up capacity, with the Chery Company announcing the launch of a new factory in Mongolia despite the fact that their new facilities in Wuhu and Dalian have not yet been completed. Chery are best known for their range of compact cars.

Signals from Beijing do seem to indicate that the automotive industry will continue to receive special support even as tightening measures are implemented broadly. In a newspaper interview yesterday, a spokesperson for the Ministry of Industry reaffirmed the Chinese government’s commitment to provide subsidies for green automotive technology to help achieved the official target of half a million green cars before 2013.

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